Nutanix (NTNX, $33.70) beats fiscal Q2 earnings, but has lower projection for Q3 than expected
Nutanix delivered earnings better than expected for its fiscal second quarter, but indicated weaker guidance for the next quarter compared to analysts’ projections.
The cloud services company’s adjusted net loss for the three months ending January 31 came in at -23 cents per share, which is less pronounced than analysts’ Wall Street estimates of a loss of -25 cents per share. Fiscal second-quarter sales surged nearly +17% to $335 million, beating analysts’ expectation of $331 million. However, billings (or signed contracts not yet on paper) for the quarter - at $413.4 million – came in lower than analysts’ estimates of $416.5 million.
What could potentially disappoint some investors is Nutanix’s projections for the fiscal third. Nutanix forecasts an adjusted loss of approximately -60 cents per share for the coming quarter, thereby falling short of than analysts’ prediction of a loss of -28 cents per share. The company’s expects revenue to range between $290 million and $300 million – lower than analysts’ expectation of $348 million. Even billings projection of $290 million to $300 million, does not match up to analysts’ expected $430.2 million.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Aroon Indicator for NTNX shows an upward move is likely
NTNX's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 08, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 262 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 217 of the 262 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NTNX as a result. In 71 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NTNX just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where NTNX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Following a +2.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NTNX advanced for three days, in 238 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NTNX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
NTNX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 1 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NTNX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (26.455) is normal, around the industry mean (18.522). P/E Ratio (13.290) is within average values for comparable stocks, (158.311). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.407) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.004) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.032) is also within normal values, averaging (104.490).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
an operator of enterprise cloud platform that converges traditional silos of server, virtualization and storage into one integrated solution
Industry ComputerCommunications
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