NVDA Swing Trader: 25.44% Gain With Long-Short Strategy
Swing Trader's Success: Long-Short Equity Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 25.44% for NVDA
In the vibrant field of financial market trading, success stories often come from innovative strategies and diligent application of analytical tools. One such story that stands out is the impressive 25.44% return generated by a swing trader employing a Long-Short Equity Strategy using both technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA) for Nvidia Corporation (NVDA).
One of the significant elements in the trader's arsenal of techniques was the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), a crucial technical indicator. MACD provides traders with trends of momentum by showing the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price. It offers a clear and quick picture of short-term trends which are paramount to swing trading.
On July 14, 2023, a notable event occurred - NVDA's MACD Histogram crossed above its signal line, turning positive. The significance of this event can't be understated. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it's generally considered a bullish signal - a cue for traders to consider buying.
What made this situation particularly intriguing for the swing trader was the historical trend that came to light. Looking at previous instances where NVDA's MACD turned positive, the stock price continued to rise in 43 of 49 cases over the following month. This translates to an astounding 88% chance of a continued upward trend.
The combination of technical and fundamental analysis in the Long-Short Equity Strategy proves fruitful, as seen in this case. Technical analysis provides traders with the necessary signals to enter and exit positions, while fundamental analysis helps assess the inherent value of the stock. Both these methods, when combined effectively, can lead to significant gains.
As demonstrated by the swing trader's successful engagement with NVDA, a balanced application of TA and FA can yield robust returns. By strategically capitalizing on MACD signals and other technical indicators while maintaining a keen eye on the underlying financial health of the company, the swing trader was able to generate a significant return of 25.44% for NVDA.
This successful use of the Long-Short Equity Strategy using TA & FA for NVDA is a testament to the power of informed trading. It's an inspiring example of how blending different approaches and maintaining agility can significantly boost one's investment portfolio.
NVDA in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on August 21, 2023
NVDA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 21, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 55 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 07, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on September 07, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
NVDA moved below its 50-day moving average on September 15, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 19, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for NVDA entered a downward trend on August 21, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for NVDA's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in of 347 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (37.879) is slightly higher than the industry average of (7.984). P/E Ratio (102.041) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.953). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.338) is also within normal values, averaging (2.360). NVDA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (32.154) is also within normal values, averaging (72.684).
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software
Industry Semiconductors
NVDA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVDA has been closely correlated with AMD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVDA jumps, then AMD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVDA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 100% | -2.94% | ||
| AMD - NVDA | 82% Closely correlated | -1.25% | ||
| AOSL - NVDA | 78% Closely correlated | -2.42% | ||
| ASML - NVDA | 77% Closely correlated | -0.66% | ||
| MPWR - NVDA | 75% Closely correlated | -1.07% | ||
| MRVL - NVDA | 73% Closely correlated | -2.13% | ||
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