Comparing NVDA and TAP: A Tale of Two Different Markets
Compare: Swing trader: Volatility Balanced Strategy (TA) 48.52% for NVDA vs Swing Trader for Beginners: Trading in Markets Trending Up (TA&FA) 3.28% for TAP
Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) and Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) provide us with an intriguing juxtaposition of two sectors: semiconductors and beverages (alcoholic). NVDA and TAP, while belonging to different industries, present an interesting perspective on the dynamics of trading and investing.
NVDA, one of the pioneers in the semiconductor industry, has recently experienced a 0.11% price change this week, compared to TAP’s -1.35% for the same time frame. The semiconductor industry, where NVDA is classified, suffered an average weekly decline of -2.43%. However, the average monthly price growth was +8.37%, and the quarterly price growth was a significant +29.44%. This indicates an upward trend despite short-term volatility.
On the other hand, TAP operates within the alcoholic beverage industry, which saw an average weekly price reduction of -1.14%. The average monthly and quarterly growth rates for this industry were +0.26% and -0.98% respectively, suggesting a slow and possibly stagnating trend.
In terms of trading strategies, the Volatility Balanced Strategy (Technical Analysis based) for NVDA garnered a staggering return of 48.52%. This trading strategy benefits from the high price swings that NVDA experiences. NVDA's higher volatility provides lucrative opportunities for swing traders who aim to profit from short-term price movements.
TAP, on the other hand, is best approached by beginners using the Trading in Markets Trending Up strategy (a mix of Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis), yielding a return of 3.28%. The comparatively lower return reflects TAP's steadier price movements and its industry's slower growth rate.
Investors must also note the upcoming earnings reports for both companies. NVDA is set to report its earnings on August 23, 2023, while TAP will release its report a bit earlier, on July 27, 2023. These announcements can lead to significant price movements and opportunities for investors and traders alike.
In summary, while NVDA offers opportunities for traders to profit from its higher price volatility, TAP appears to be a more conservative choice, suitable for those seeking steady growth in an industry trending upwards slowly. The choice between the two would depend on the individual investor's risk tolerance and investment strategy.
On September 28, 2023, the Stochastic Oscillator for NVDA moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 46 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NVDA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 07, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on September 07, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
NVDA moved below its 50-day moving average on September 15, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 19, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for NVDA entered a downward trend on September 28, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (38.168) is slightly higher than the industry average of (7.927). P/E Ratio (103.093) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.689). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.345) is also within normal values, averaging (2.330). NVDA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (32.362) is also within normal values, averaging (72.520).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software
Industry Semiconductors
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVDA has been closely correlated with AMD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVDA jumps, then AMD could also see price increases.
Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVDA | 1D Price Change % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
NVDA | 100% | +1.46% | ||
AMD - NVDA | 82% Closely correlated | +4.78% | ||
AOSL - NVDA | 78% Closely correlated | +3.09% | ||
ASML - NVDA | 77% Closely correlated | +1.07% | ||
MPWR - NVDA | 75% Closely correlated | +2.67% | ||
MRVL - NVDA | 73% Closely correlated | +2.76% | ||
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