Nvidia (NVDA, $208.18) gets price target hikes, and a valuation caution
Some analysts raised their price targets on Nvidia. One of them had some valuation concerns, though.
Analysts at UBS increased their price target on the semiconductor company’s shares to $240 from $195, citing the company's 2020 product cycle and its multiple. The analysts are sanguine on Nvidia Ray Tracing graphics chip.
Deutsche Bank analyst Ross Seymore has a positive outlook on the company. However, he is still cautious about valuation. Seymore boosted his price target to $190 from $160, which is still below the company's nearly $208 closing price Friday. The analyst views tailwinds in NVDA's ability to address a wide range of rapidly growing sectors (artificial intelligence, data center, gaming, advanced driver assistance systems/audio-visual, etc.), and he expects optimism on these aspects to remain high heading into fiscal 2021. While Seymore expects that a solid guide may result in incremental upside to estimates, he also feels that much of the positive is already reflected in the shares. Deutsche Bank has a hold rating on Nvidia shares.
NVDA's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for NVDA entered a downward trend on December 20, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 148 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 148 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 13, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on November 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
NVDA moved below its 50-day moving average on December 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 16, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (50.000) is slightly higher than the industry average of (10.360). P/E Ratio (53.178) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.127). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.965) is also within normal values, averaging (3.148). NVDA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.021). P/S Ratio (29.586) is also within normal values, averaging (46.311).
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a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software
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