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NVDA's Rough Week: A Deeper Look
Last week wasn't kind to NVIDIA (NVDA, $482.42), with the company experiencing a significant -4.3% drop in market cap, translating into a staggering $65.0B decrease. Amidst a challenging week for the Semiconductors Industry, NVDA's performance is particularly noteworthy, considering its position as an industry leader.
Market Dynamics: Semiconductor Industry Overview
Out of 162 stocks analyzed in the Semiconductors Industry, only 44 (26.92%) showed an Uptrend, while a majority of 118 stocks (73.08%) were in a Downtrend, painting a rather bleak picture of the current industry climate.
NVDA's Earnings and Dividend Insights
Despite the market cap hit, NVIDIA's last earnings report on November 21 indicated a beat on expectations, with earnings per share of $4.02 against a forecast of $3.36. With a substantial 21.35M shares outstanding, NVDA's market capitalization still stands tall at a massive 1.18T.
π Dividend Update: NVIDIA will be paying a dividend of $0.04 per share, with the upcoming ex-dividend date set for December 05, 2023.
Who Else Is in the Picture?
Other notable players in the Semiconductors Industry include Broadcom (AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), AMD (AMD), Intel (INTC), and more. This sector is pivotal for numerous electronic devices and is expected to grow with the advent of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and AI technologies.
Market Cap Context:
Price and Volume Movements:
The Semiconductors Industry saw an average weekly price growth of 2%, while NVDA's stock experienced a -5.46% decline over the last five trading days.
What's Next for NVIDIA?
Despite the recent downturn, forecasts predict NVDA's price might rebound to around $552.11, offering a potential 18.06% return. However, this comes with a moderate 19.69% success probability.
Correlation Insights:
NVDA has shown a strong correlation (78%) with AOSL over the past year, suggesting similar movement patterns between these stocks.
Trading Outlook:
As NVIDIA navigates through these challenging market conditions, traders should closely monitor industry trends and the company's performance. With its significant market presence and potential for rebound, NVDA remains a key player to watch in the dynamic Semiconductors Industry. ππ‘π πΌπ
NVDA saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on August 28, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 81 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 81 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
NVDA moved below its 50-day moving average on September 02, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NVDA's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in of 363 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 340 cases where NVDA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVDAβs price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (41.494) is slightly higher than the industry average of (10.984). P/E Ratio (48.650) is within average values for comparable stocks, (71.988). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.270) is also within normal values, averaging (1.771). NVDA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (25.510) is also within normal values, averaging (27.912).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software
Industry Semiconductors