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Dec 05, 2023

πŸ“‰ NVIDIA's Market Cap Plunges: A $65B Drop to $1.18T πŸš¨πŸ”»

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NVDA's Rough Week: A Deeper Look

Last week wasn't kind to NVIDIA (NVDA, $482.42), with the company experiencing a significant -4.3% drop in market cap, translating into a staggering $65.0B decrease. Amidst a challenging week for the Semiconductors Industry, NVDA's performance is particularly noteworthy, considering its position as an industry leader.

Market Dynamics: Semiconductor Industry Overview

Out of 162 stocks analyzed in the Semiconductors Industry, only 44 (26.92%) showed an Uptrend, while a majority of 118 stocks (73.08%) were in a Downtrend, painting a rather bleak picture of the current industry climate.

NVDA's Earnings and Dividend Insights

Despite the market cap hit, NVIDIA's last earnings report on November 21 indicated a beat on expectations, with earnings per share of $4.02 against a forecast of $3.36. With a substantial 21.35M shares outstanding, NVDA's market capitalization still stands tall at a massive 1.18T.

πŸ“… Dividend Update: NVIDIA will be paying a dividend of $0.04 per share, with the upcoming ex-dividend date set for December 05, 2023.

Who Else Is in the Picture?

Other notable players in the Semiconductors Industry include Broadcom (AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), AMD (AMD), Intel (INTC), and more. This sector is pivotal for numerous electronic devices and is expected to grow with the advent of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and AI technologies.

Market Cap Context:

  • NVDA tops the list in its industry with a market cap of 1.18T.
  • The industry's average market capitalization stands at 31.38B.
  • The least valued company in this sector is CYBL, with a market cap of only 13.43K.

Price and Volume Movements:

The Semiconductors Industry saw an average weekly price growth of 2%, while NVDA's stock experienced a -5.46% decline over the last five trading days.

What's Next for NVIDIA?

Despite the recent downturn, forecasts predict NVDA's price might rebound to around $552.11, offering a potential 18.06% return. However, this comes with a moderate 19.69% success probability.

Correlation Insights:

NVDA has shown a strong correlation (78%) with AOSL over the past year, suggesting similar movement patterns between these stocks.

Trading Outlook:

As NVIDIA navigates through these challenging market conditions, traders should closely monitor industry trends and the company's performance. With its significant market presence and potential for rebound, NVDA remains a key player to watch in the dynamic Semiconductors Industry. πŸ“ŠπŸ’‘πŸ” πŸ’ΌπŸ“ˆ

Related Ticker: NVDA

NVDA's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for NVDA moved out of oversold territory on April 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 17 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 17 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NVDA just turned positive on April 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where NVDA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in of 374 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where NVDA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 24, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for NVDA moved below the 200-day moving average on March 20, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for NVDA entered a downward trend on April 16, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (34.130) is normal, around the industry mean (9.394). P/E Ratio (37.759) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.359). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.566) is also within normal values, averaging (2.396). NVDA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.023). P/S Ratio (21.097) is also within normal values, averaging (57.329).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), KLA Corp (NASDAQ:KLAC).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 44.98B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 2.6T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.6T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 8%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12%. PRKR experienced the highest price growth at 35%, while ASMVF experienced the biggest fall at -35%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 60% and the average quarterly volume growth was 45%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 73
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
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Industry
Semiconductors
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2788 San Tomas Expressway
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