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NVDA's Rough Week: A Deeper Look
Last week wasn't kind to NVIDIA (NVDA, $482.42), with the company experiencing a significant -4.3% drop in market cap, translating into a staggering $65.0B decrease. Amidst a challenging week for the Semiconductors Industry, NVDA's performance is particularly noteworthy, considering its position as an industry leader.
Market Dynamics: Semiconductor Industry Overview
Out of 162 stocks analyzed in the Semiconductors Industry, only 44 (26.92%) showed an Uptrend, while a majority of 118 stocks (73.08%) were in a Downtrend, painting a rather bleak picture of the current industry climate.
NVDA's Earnings and Dividend Insights
Despite the market cap hit, NVIDIA's last earnings report on November 21 indicated a beat on expectations, with earnings per share of $4.02 against a forecast of $3.36. With a substantial 21.35M shares outstanding, NVDA's market capitalization still stands tall at a massive 1.18T.
π Dividend Update: NVIDIA will be paying a dividend of $0.04 per share, with the upcoming ex-dividend date set for December 05, 2023.
Who Else Is in the Picture?
Other notable players in the Semiconductors Industry include Broadcom (AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), AMD (AMD), Intel (INTC), and more. This sector is pivotal for numerous electronic devices and is expected to grow with the advent of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and AI technologies.
Market Cap Context:
Price and Volume Movements:
The Semiconductors Industry saw an average weekly price growth of 2%, while NVDA's stock experienced a -5.46% decline over the last five trading days.
What's Next for NVIDIA?
Despite the recent downturn, forecasts predict NVDA's price might rebound to around $552.11, offering a potential 18.06% return. However, this comes with a moderate 19.69% success probability.
Correlation Insights:
NVDA has shown a strong correlation (78%) with AOSL over the past year, suggesting similar movement patterns between these stocks.
Trading Outlook:
As NVIDIA navigates through these challenging market conditions, traders should closely monitor industry trends and the company's performance. With its significant market presence and potential for rebound, NVDA remains a key player to watch in the dynamic Semiconductors Industry. ππ‘π πΌπ
Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in of 374 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 26, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on March 28, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 27, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for NVDA moved below the 200-day moving average on March 20, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for NVDA entered a downward trend on March 20, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVDAβs price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (33.333) is normal, around the industry mean (9.805). P/E Ratio (36.864) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.801). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.045) is also within normal values, averaging (2.392). NVDA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (20.619) is also within normal values, averaging (33.029).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software
Industry Semiconductors