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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 07, 2020

Oil plunges as OPEC-Russia agreement fails to materialize

Oil prices had their steepest plunge in more than a decade Friday, after there was no indication of an agreement between OPEC and Russia on production cuts.

Brent crude futures contracts for May delivery declined more than -9.4%, or $4.72 per barrel --the biggest one-day decline since 2008.  The gauge ended Friday at $45.27 per barrel, which is also  the lowest level for the global benchmark since 2016. WTI contracts for April delivery was -10% lower.

 OPEC had wanted additional cut of 1.5 million barrels per day, as long as Russia and other non-member states supported the plan with cuts of their own.

OPEC’s statement on had no mention of either deeper cuts, or extending the existing output agreement from 2016, which cuts around 1.7 million barrels per day from the market and is set to expire at the end of the month. OPEC mentioned in the note that member state producers would "continue to stabilize markets".

Risks of an oversupplied oil market could be potentially aggravating, particularly amid the Coronavirus crisis which is hurting global demand for fuel.

Related Ticker: BNO

BNO sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

On April 25, 2024, the Stochastic Oscillator for BNO moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 55 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BNO advanced for three days, in of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 346 cases where BNO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BNO moved out of overbought territory on April 11, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 17, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BNO as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BNO turned negative on April 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BNO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BNO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 02, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Industry description

The investment seeks the daily changes in percentage terms of its shares’ per share net asset value (“NAV”) to reflect the daily changes in percentage terms of the spot price of Brent crude oil. The Benchmark Futures Contract is the futures contract on Brent crude oil as traded on the Ice Futures Europe Exchange that is the near month contract to expire, except when the near month contract is within two weeks of expiration, in which case it will be measured by the futures contract that is the next month contract to expire.
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