GET DAILY SIGNALSOil plunges as OPEC-Russia agreement fails to materialize
Oil prices had their steepest plunge in more than a decade Friday, after there was no indication of an agreement between OPEC and Russia on production cuts.
Brent crude futures contracts for May delivery declined more than -9.4%, or $4.72 per barrel --the biggest one-day decline since 2008. The gauge ended Friday at $45.27 per barrel, which is also the lowest level for the global benchmark since 2016. WTI contracts for April delivery was -10% lower.
OPEC had wanted additional cut of 1.5 million barrels per day, as long as Russia and other non-member states supported the plan with cuts of their own.
OPEC’s statement on had no mention of either deeper cuts, or extending the existing output agreement from 2016, which cuts around 1.7 million barrels per day from the market and is set to expire at the end of the month. OPEC mentioned in the note that member state producers would "continue to stabilize markets".
Risks of an oversupplied oil market could be potentially aggravating, particularly amid the Coronavirus crisis which is hurting global demand for fuel.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
BNO in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026
BNO moved below its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 48 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BNO as a result. In 78 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BNO turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 44 of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BNO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BNO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BNO advanced for three days, in 303 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
BNO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 227 of 252 cases where BNO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
Industry description
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