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Jan 04, 2019

Oil Price Rises to $57 a Barrel, Thanks to Lower Supply and US-China Trade Talk Plan

Oil prices inched higher on Friday. Brent crude rose +$1.25 to touch $57.20 a barrel at 1113 GMT, while U.S. crude oil was up +90 cents to $47.99. The uptick came on the back of a number of potential factors.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries cut crude output by 460,000 barrels per day in December (according to a Reuters survey revealed on Thursday), which could have been a factor in pushing crude prices up. Additionally, there were reports of  possible expansion in China’s services sector. What potentially bolstered the crude price increase was China's announcement to  hold vice-ministerial trade talks with U.S. counterparts in Beijing on Jan. 7-8 – something that probably creates some hope, given that a large part of 2018 was laden with U.S.-China trade tensions.

 

Related Ticker: BNO

Momentum Indicator for BNO turns positive, indicating new upward trend

BNO saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on March 13, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 87 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BNO just turned positive on March 14, 2024. Looking at past instances where BNO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for BNO moved above the 200-day moving average on February 27, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BNO advanced for three days, in of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 337 cases where BNO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BNO moved out of overbought territory on March 20, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BNO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BNO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 13, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Industry description

The investment seeks the daily changes in percentage terms of its shares’ per share net asset value (“NAV”) to reflect the daily changes in percentage terms of the spot price of Brent crude oil. The Benchmark Futures Contract is the futures contract on Brent crude oil as traded on the Ice Futures Europe Exchange that is the near month contract to expire, except when the near month contract is within two weeks of expiration, in which case it will be measured by the futures contract that is the next month contract to expire.
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