Oil Prices Decline in Spite of Iran and Saudi Arabia Tensions
Oil prices hit a nearly four-year high at the start of October 2018, as demand rose and as U.S. sanctions resulted in declining Iranian crude exports.
However, the last two weeks have seen the oil market undergoing an incredible reversal in price movement, despite the backdrop of looming U.S. sanctions on Iran, OPEC's third-largest crude producer, and rising tensions between Washington and Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter.
U.S. crude prices declined by ~11% from peak to trough while Brent Crude was down more than 9%. U.S. crude futures fell to a nearly five-week low of $68.47 in the last week, plunging more than $8 a barrel from this month's four-year high of $76.90.
Meanwhile, Brent crude hovered around $78.69 a barrel in the last week, down $8 or 9.3%, from its four-year high at $86.74 in the first week of October.
Rising U.S. crude stockpiles by ~ 22.3 million barrels -- the biggest increase over a four-week period since 2015 -- forecasts of a slower-than-expected commodity and oil demand growth owing to rising oil prices, and the recent sell-off in stock markets as investors dumped risky assets, are all considered to be the main factors driving the declines.
COP in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on June 13, 2025
The 10-day moving average for COP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 13, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 60 cases where COP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for COP just turned positive on July 03, 2025. Looking at past instances where COP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
COP moved above its 50-day moving average on June 26, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COP advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for COP moved out of overbought territory on June 16, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 25, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COP as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
COP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. COP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.072) is normal, around the industry mean (4.654). P/E Ratio (14.203) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.615). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.867) is also within normal values, averaging (4.890). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.085) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.763) is also within normal values, averaging (164.964).
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General Information
a producer of wholesales oil and natural gas
Industry OilGasProduction
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