Oil Prices Decline in Spite of Iran and Saudi Arabia Tensions
Oil prices hit a nearly four-year high at the start of October 2018, as demand rose and as U.S. sanctions resulted in declining Iranian crude exports.
However, the last two weeks have seen the oil market undergoing an incredible reversal in price movement, despite the backdrop of looming U.S. sanctions on Iran, OPEC's third-largest crude producer, and rising tensions between Washington and Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter.
U.S. crude prices declined by ~11% from peak to trough while Brent Crude was down more than 9%. U.S. crude futures fell to a nearly five-week low of $68.47 in the last week, plunging more than $8 a barrel from this month's four-year high of $76.90.
Meanwhile, Brent crude hovered around $78.69 a barrel in the last week, down $8 or 9.3%, from its four-year high at $86.74 in the first week of October.
Rising U.S. crude stockpiles by ~ 22.3 million barrels -- the biggest increase over a four-week period since 2015 -- forecasts of a slower-than-expected commodity and oil demand growth owing to rising oil prices, and the recent sell-off in stock markets as investors dumped risky assets, are all considered to be the main factors driving the declines.
COP sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
COP saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 16, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 16, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COP as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
COP moved above its 50-day moving average on June 26, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COP advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. COP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.072) is normal, around the industry mean (4.670). P/E Ratio (14.203) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.690). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.867) is also within normal values, averaging (4.890). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.086) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.763) is also within normal values, averaging (165.746).
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General Information
a producer of wholesales oil and natural gas
Industry OilGasProduction
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