Global oil prices fell again on Monday after U.S. data sparked fresh concerns about a slowdown in the global economy and rising crude supplies in the United States.
Over the past couple of weeks, oil markets experienced a positive outcome as prices rose to $64 a barrel, following supply cuts by the OPEC countries, especially Saudi Arabia, as well as sanctions against Venezuela’s oil exports.
But this rise was short-lived as prices fell again on Monday.
Brent crude oil, the global benchmark for oil, had hit $63.30 a barrel before the start of the trade on Monday – the highest since early December, but as the trading started Brent lost 24 cents to stand at $62.51 around 1:30 p.m. ET.
On the other hand, West Texas Intermediate crude also experienced its best intra-day high of $55.75, since November 21, 2018. But it was down by 75 cents or 1.4% to stand at $54.51 around 1:30 p.m. ET.
According to market analysts, it is possible that the currency strength of the U.S dollar is responsible for this fall in oil prices, as it gets more expensive for holders in others currencies whose strength does not match up.
Further, persistent trade dispute between U.S and China may also be responsible for the pressure on oil prices, according to some analysts. However, this is somewhat foiled by the OPEC deal of cutting down excess oil supplies as well as sanctions on Venezuela’s exports.
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for COP moved out of overbought territory on April 12, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 16, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COP as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for COP turned negative on April 12, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 50-day moving average for COP moved above the 200-day moving average on March 27, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COP advanced for three days, in of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 306 cases where COP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. COP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.072) is normal, around the industry mean (5.854). P/E Ratio (14.203) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.621). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.867) is also within normal values, averaging (5.068). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.763) is also within normal values, averaging (148.486).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a producer of wholesales oil and natural gas
Industry OilGasProduction