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Nov 26, 2018
Oil Stages a Comeback after Black Friday Sell-Off

Oil Stages a Comeback after Black Friday Sell-Off

Brent crude futures, which tanked by ~6% on Friday, increased by $1.71 or 2.9% on Monday to stand at $60.51 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures, which sank nearly 7.7% on Friday, rose by $1.28 or 2.5% to stand at $51.70 a barrel.

Although the gains partly made up for Friday’s losses, oil and gas analysts are of the opinion that uncertainty over global economic growth limited gains and they are concerned whether oil can hold on to the $60 mark, considering broad market weakness.

With the International Energy Agency already revising their initial estimate for the demand growth rate from 1.5 million barrels per day to 1.4 million barrels per day in just three months, analysts aren’t expecting any sustainable long-term oil price gain. 

 

Related Ticker: COP

COP in +3.55% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on September 02, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where COP advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 296 cases where COP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for COP moved out of overbought territory on September 03, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COP as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for COP turned negative on September 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

COP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. COP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.483) is normal, around the industry mean (5.011). P/E Ratio (17.862) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.147). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.221) is also within normal values, averaging (2.766). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.047) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.622) is also within normal values, averaging (6.029).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:EXE), APA Corp (NASDAQ:APA), ANTERO RESOURCES Corp (NYSE:AR).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 10.47B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 162.23B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 162.23B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 11%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0%. MXC experienced the highest price growth at 17%, while EP experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -37% and the average quarterly volume growth was -13%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 49
Price Growth Rating: 46
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: 47 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a producer of wholesales oil and natural gas

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
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Industry
Oil And Gas Production
Address
925 North Eldridge Parkway
Phone
+1 281 293-1000
Employees
9900
Web
https://www.conocophillips.com
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