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May 05, 2026
Oil States International (OIS) Drops -12% After Q1 Earnings Miss on Revenue

Oil States International (OIS) Drops -12% After Q1 Earnings Miss on Revenue

Key Takeaways

  • OIS shares plunged 12.01% to close at $9.86 from the previous close of $11.20.
  • The primary catalyst was a Q1 2026 earnings report that beat EPS estimates at $0.09 adjusted but missed revenue expectations with $145.4 million versus $153.8 million anticipated.
  • Revenue declined 9% year-over-year and 19% sequentially, driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, project deferrals, and seasonal softness.
  • Trading volume reached approximately 660,000 shares, below the average of 1.1 million, amid elevated volatility post-earnings.
  • The move diverged negatively from the broader energy sector, with the IEZ ETF down modestly while XLE gained ground.
  • Traders are watching Q2 guidance of $157-162 million in revenue and the offshore backlog near decade highs at $430 million.

A Sharp Post-Earnings Decline for OIS

I've been keeping an eye on OIS, the Houston-based provider of engineered products and services for energy, industrial, and military markets. The stock took a significant hit today, closing at $9.86 after dropping 12.01% from yesterday's close of $11.20. This came right after the company released its first-quarter 2026 results before the market opened. From what I see, investors zeroed in on the revenue miss, even though earnings came in ahead of expectations.

Breaking Down the Q1 Numbers

OIS delivered adjusted earnings per share of $0.09, edging out the consensus estimate of $0.08 by $0.01. Revenue, however, disappointed at $145.4 million, missing the $153.8 million forecast and reflecting a 9% decline from the same quarter a year earlier. On a GAAP basis, EPS was $0.02, which included $4.1 million in restructuring and asset impairment charges.

The Offshore Manufactured Products segment—OIS's biggest contributor—brought in $91.4 million, holding roughly flat year-over-year but down 26% from the prior quarter, while maintaining a healthy 20% adjusted EBITDA margin. Completion and Production Services revenue fell 38% annually to $21.5 million, hit by weakness in the U.S. land market. Downhole Technologies dipped 1% to $32.4 million, squeezed by higher costs and disruptions in the Middle East.

Navigating Geopolitical and Operational Challenges

Management pointed to persistent Middle East conflicts as a major drag, leading to contract delays, lower activity levels, and steeper shipping costs. Project deferrals that are more transitory in nature, along with seasonal factors, added to the pressure. That said, one thing that stands out is the offshore backlog reaching $430 million—close to decade highs—with Q1 bookings at $84 million for a 0.9x book-to-bill ratio. The company continues to target at least 1.0x for the full year.

I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to gauge how OIS stacks up against peers in the sector amid these headwinds.

Trading Dynamics and Sector Comparison

Trading volume came in at around 660,000 shares, roughly 60% of the 1.1 million daily average, suggesting targeted selling tied to the earnings reaction rather than widespread participation. The drop stood out against the broader energy sector: the iShares U.S. Oil Equipment & Services ETF (IEZ) fell less than 1%, while the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) actually moved higher. OIS broke below its 50-day moving average around $11.87, which could signal technical vulnerability unless there's a swift recovery. Peers like Halliburton (HAL) and SLB traded mixed, pointing to company-specific factors at play here.

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Looking Ahead: Q2 Guidance and Key Watch Points

For the second quarter, Oil States guided revenue to $157-162 million and adjusted EBITDA to $18-20 million, pointing to a sequential uptick. I'm watching Middle East developments, new offshore project awards, and any signs of U.S. land market recovery closely. The next earnings update is expected in late July or early August. Analyst views remain steady, with emphasis on debt reduction—cash outpaced debt by $4 million at quarter-end—and normalizing free cash flow. Risks like extended geopolitical issues and raw material inflation loom, but they're offset by a solid $112 million liquidity position following recent note retirement.

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Related Ticker: OIS

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OIS saw its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for OIS moved out of overbought territory on August 20, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 67 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 67 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OIS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where OIS's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 10, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on OIS as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for OIS just turned positive on August 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where OIS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

OIS moved above its 50-day moving average on August 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for OIS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OIS advanced for three days, in of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

OIS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 213 cases where OIS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. OIS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.898) is normal, around the industry mean (3.628). P/E Ratio (38.892) is within average values for comparable stocks, (81.681). OIS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.655). OIS has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.018). P/S Ratio (0.779) is also within normal values, averaging (2.245).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. OIS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are SLB Limited (NYSE:SLB), Halliburton Company (NYSE:HAL).

Industry description

The oilfield services/equipment industry is involved in providing various equipment and services to oil and natural gas producers. These companies rent drilling rigs and/or provide services to build and maintain oil and gas wells. The performance of this industry is dependent on demand for oil and natural gas, which in turn is often driven by macroeconomic conditions or business cycles. Schlumberger NV, Halliburton Company, and Baker Hughes are some of the biggest oilfield services companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oilfield Services/Equipment Industry is 6.32B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 43.89 to 79.95B. SLB holds the highest valuation in this group at 79.95B. The lowest valued company is KEGX at 43.89.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oilfield Services/Equipment Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 47%. LB experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while RCON experienced the biggest fall at -100%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oilfield Services/Equipment Industry was 1%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -21% and the average quarterly volume growth was -38%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 30
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 65
Seasonality Score: -2 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a diversified oilfield services company, which provides products and services to natural resources companies

Industry OilfieldServicesEquipment

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Industry
Oilfield Services Or Equipment
Address
Three Allen Center, 333 Clay Street
Phone
+1 713 652-0582
Employees
2752
Web
https://www.oilstatesintl.com
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