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Aug 29, 2019
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Okta (OKTA, $133.17) beats Q2 earnings & sales estimates; but issues lower-than-expected guidance

Okta (OKTA, $133.17) beats Q2 earnings & sales estimates; but issues lower-than-expected guidance

Okta beat analysts’ expectations on earnings and revenue for the second quarter. However, the company’s guidance for  the October quarter  fell behind the Street’s estimates.

The cloud-based identity and access management company reported a quarterly loss of -5 cents per share, faring better than analysts’ estimate of a loss of -11 cents a share. The losses were also narrower from the year-ago period’s -15 cents loss.

Revenue for the quarter surged +49% year-over-year to $140.5 million, topping the $131.2 million expected by analysts.

Looking ahead, Okta projected a loss of -12 cents to -13 cents a share for the quarter ending October, compared to analysts' estimate of -9 cents loss per share.

The company’s revenue forecast of $143.5 million for the third quarter is below the $140.5 million that the Street had predicted.

In recent times, Okta has been apparently focused on adding very large enterprise customers. According to the company,  it had a total of 1,222 customers with annual contract value above $100,000 as of last quarter.

Related Ticker: OKTA

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


OKTA in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026

OKTA moved below its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 31 of 40 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for OKTA moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 68%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on OKTA as a result. In 70 of 101 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for OKTA turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OKTA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +3.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OKTA advanced for three days, in 220 of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

OKTA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 113 of 146 cases where OKTA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OKTA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.790) is normal, around the industry mean (16.313). P/E Ratio (113.720) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.744). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.671) is also within normal values, averaging (3.696). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.312) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.881) is also within normal values, averaging (104.492).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. OKTA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CRWD), Block Inc (NYSE:XYZ), NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP), Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS), Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO), MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB).

Industry description

Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Computer Communications Industry is 36.65B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48.8K to 4.13T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.13T. The lowest valued company is WMHI at 48.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -7%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. CHOW experienced the highest price growth at 42%, while RZAI experienced the biggest fall at -75%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 31% and the average quarterly volume growth was -54%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: APPLICATION SOFTWARE
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General Information

a provider of an enterprise-grade identity management services

Industry ComputerCommunications

Industry
Packaged Software
Address
100 First Street
Phone
+1 888 722-7871
Employees
6366
Web
https://www.okta.com
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