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Sep 03, 2018
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OPEC Produces Highest Output for The Year

OPEC Produces Highest Output for The Year

August marked the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ (OPEC) highest crude production this year, bolstered by Libya’s output.

All members of OPEC collectively produced 32.74 million barrels a day last month, which is 420,000 barrels higher compared to July (according to a Bloomberg report). Producing 970,000 barrels a day, Libya emerged as the biggest contributor to August output.  

In June, OPEC members agreed to increase their combined production by 1 million barrels a day.

Related Ticker: BP

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


BP's RSI Oscillator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for BP moved out of overbought territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 24 of the 38 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 63%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BP as a result. In 48 of 101 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BP turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 60%.

BP moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.21% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BP advanced for three days, in 213 of 355 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

BP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 194 of 282 cases where BP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 30, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 54 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.963) is normal, around the industry mean (1.508). BP has a moderately high P/E Ratio (21.072) as compared to the industry average of (10.200). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.058) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.046) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.548) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 124.37B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 63.2K to 682.04B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 682.04B. The lowest valued company is CRRDF at 63.2K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -9%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. EC experienced the highest price growth at -3%, while SKYQ experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 8% and the average quarterly volume growth was 27%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 56
Profit Risk Rating: 30
Seasonality Score: -45 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a producer of petroleum, natural gas and related products

Industry IntegratedOil

Industry
Integrated Oil
Address
1 St James's Square
Phone
+44 2074964000
Employees
93700
Web
https://www.bp.com
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