Oracle ( ORCL, $52.69) crushes fiscal Q4 earnings and revenue expectations; shares jump +7% in after-hours trade
Oracle topped analysts’ fiscal fourth quarter expectations on earnings and revenue, sending its shares soaring to almost +7% during after-hours trading Wednesday.
The software and cloud technology company raked in adjusted earnings of $1.16 per share during the quarter, exceeding analysts’ estimate of $1.07 per share (based on Refinitiv poll of analysts).
The company’s revenue of $11.14 billion also came in higher than the $10.93 billion expected by analysts (based on Refinitiv poll). Oracle’s largest business segment, Cloud Services and License Support, generated $6.80 billion in revenue, beating consensus estimate of $6.76 billion (based on analysts’ poll by FactSet).
Looking ahead, Oracle expects earnings in the range of 80 cents to 82 cents per share, excluding certain items, and revenue growth of flat to 2 percent for the first quarter of the 2020 fiscal year. Analysts polled by Refinitiv had predicted 80 cents per share for the quarter on 1.7% revenue growth.
For the full fiscal year 2020, the company projects that earnings per share would experience double-digit growth, and that revenue would grow faster compare to last year in constant currency. Analysts polled by Refinitiv had expected full-year guidance of $3.79 in earnings per share, excluding certain items, (i.e. growth of 9.9%), on $40.17 billion – implying a revenue growth of 2.2%, which is higher than the almost flat revenue in the prior year.
Recently, Oracle Corp. joined hands with Microsoft Corp. on a cloud interoperability partnership, that would enable customers to migrate and run mission-critical enterprise workloads across Microsoft Azure and Oracle Cloud, as announced by Oracle.
ORCL in +3.65% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on May 14, 2025
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where ORCL advanced for three days, in of 351 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 25, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ORCL as a result. In of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ORCL just turned positive on April 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where ORCL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 38 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ORCL moved above its 50-day moving average on May 02, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ORCL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 08, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 322 cases where ORCL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ORCL moved out of overbought territory on May 19, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 56 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 18 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ORCL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
ORCL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (61.350) is normal, around the industry mean (31.337). P/E Ratio (33.108) is within average values for comparable stocks, (161.724). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.057) is also within normal values, averaging (2.714). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.720) is also within normal values, averaging (60.762).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ORCL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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a developer of a diversified line of business software products
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