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Jan 22, 2021

Oracle (ORCL, $60.15) gets sell rating from Goldman Sachs

On Friday, Oracle  got a sell rating from Goldman Sachs, as the bank initiated coverage of 12 software companies.

Goldman Sachs said, “when we asked CIOs which vendors will gain or lose share in DX [digital experience] budgets, amongst all vendors, ORCL did not perform well,”.

According to the Goldman Sachs analysts, Oracle had a “net strength of negative 39%, defined as the percentage gaining share less the percentage losing share.”

They also mentioned that for several years  Oracle has focused on organic development, and that it did not  make any major acquisitions. The net result of this strategy, according to Goldman Sachs analysts,  has been a “steady deceleration” in revenue growth from 4% in FY14-15 to 0.3% in FY20.

 

Related Ticker: ORCL

ORCL in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on February 22, 2024

ORCL moved above its 50-day moving average on February 22, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 40 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 59 cases where ORCL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for ORCL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 25, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ORCL advanced for three days, in of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ORCL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 304 cases where ORCL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ORCL moved out of overbought territory on February 06, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 15, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ORCL as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ORCL turned negative on February 13, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 50-day moving average for ORCL moved below the 200-day moving average on February 01, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ORCL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ORCL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (79.365) is normal, around the industry mean (25.594). P/E Ratio (30.925) is within average values for comparable stocks, (139.070). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.165) is also within normal values, averaging (2.848). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.087) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.075) is also within normal values, averaging (75.056).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.18B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.05T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.05T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. IFBD experienced the highest price growth at 101%, while ACON experienced the biggest fall at -48%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -60%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -66% and the average quarterly volume growth was -27%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 74
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -36 (-100 ... +100)
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ORCLDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a developer of a diversified line of business software products

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Packaged Software
Address
2300 Oracle Way
Phone
+1 737 867-1000
Employees
164000
Web
https://www.oracle.com
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ORCL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ORCL has been loosely correlated with NOW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ORCL jumps, then NOW could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ORCL
1D Price
Change %
ORCL100%
+0.80%
NOW - ORCL
48%
Loosely correlated
+0.17%
CLSK - ORCL
45%
Loosely correlated
-3.86%
ADBE - ORCL
45%
Loosely correlated
+2.95%
SAP - ORCL
45%
Loosely correlated
+1.40%
CDNS - ORCL
44%
Loosely correlated
-0.64%
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