Oracle (ORCL, $77.22) shares fall, on lower-than-expected guidance

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ORCL as a result. In 43 of 69 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

ORCL moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ORCL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 44 of 59 cases where ORCL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ORCL just turned positive on November 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where ORCL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

Following a +4.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ORCL advanced for three days, in 230 of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

ORCL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.693) is normal, around the industry mean (16.275). P/E Ratio (17.917) is within average values for comparable stocks, (45.369). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.740) is also within normal values, averaging (3.696). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.430) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.858) is also within normal values, averaging (103.897).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ORCL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ORCL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.