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Jun 16, 2021
Oracle (ORCL, $77.22) shares fall, on lower-than-expected guidance

Oracle (ORCL, $77.22) shares fall, on lower-than-expected guidance

Oracle shares dropped -5% in extended trading on Tuesday, despite earnings beat. It provided a lower-than-expected guidance on quarterly revenue.  The computer tech company also expressed plans to boost capital expenditures for cloud computing workloads.

Adjusted earnings for the fiscal fourth quarter came in at $1.54 per share, beating the $1.31 per share expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv.

Revenue for the quarter rose +8% year-over-year (vs. +3% in the prior quarter) to $11.23 billion, compared to $11.04 billion as expected by analysts (according to Refinitiv). Revenue growth got a boost from base effect since the prior-year quarter revenue fell around -6% amid the coronavirus pandemic.

Revenue from the cloud services and license support business was $7.39 billion, up +8% and above the FactSet consensus estimate of $7.32 billion. According to the company, revenue from its second-generation cloud infrastructure doubled in the quarter.

The cloud license and on-premises license segment generated $2.14 billion in revenue, growing  +9% and beating consensus estimate of $2.05 billion.

The company’s hardware revenue fell -2% to $882 million, in line with analysts’ estimates.

Looking ahead, Oracle is expecting adjusted earnings of 94 cents to 98 cents in per share for the fiscal first quarter, vs. $1.03 per share projected by analysts polled by Refinitiv. The company forecasts 3% to 5% revenue growth for that quarter, vs. 3% revenue growth estimated by analysts surveyed by Refinitiv.

According to Oracle, it expects to roughly double its cloud capex spending in FY 2022 to nearly $4 billion. “We are confident that the increased return in the cloud business more than justifies this increased investment, and our margins will expand over time,” CEO Safra Catz said.

 

Related Ticker: ORCL

ORCL's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ORCL turned positive on April 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where ORCL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 35 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ORCL as a result. In of 73 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ORCL moved above its 50-day moving average on April 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ORCL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on April 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ORCL advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ORCL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ORCL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ORCL entered a downward trend on April 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.015) is normal, around the industry mean (36.632). P/E Ratio (31.429) is within average values for comparable stocks, (134.411). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.107) is also within normal values, averaging (1.464). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.930) is also within normal values, averaging (167.580).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ORCL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock slightly better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD), Block Inc (NYSE:XYZ), Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO), MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB), NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP), Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA).

Industry description

Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Computer Communications Industry is 22B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48.8K to 3.14T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.14T. The lowest valued company is WMHI at 48.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was 22%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. WRDLY experienced the highest price growth at 2,151%, while FFPP experienced the biggest fall at -50%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -7%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 6% and the average quarterly volume growth was 35%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 78
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 81
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. ORCL showed earnings on March 10, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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