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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
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Jan 25, 2021

Packaged Software Stocks are Among the Highest Rated Stocks

The software industry has performed extremely well over the last couple of years. Many of the stocks are among the highest rated when it comes to strong fundamentals and the price performance reflects that.

Looking through a bunch of weekly charts recently, there were two software companies that really jumped out at me. Intuit (INTU) and Salesforce.com (CRM) both jumped out, but for different reasons. Intuit was overbought and has pulled back a little over the last few weeks after it hit the upper rail of a trend channel. The pullback has been just enough to move the stock out of overbought territory based on the weekly stochastic indicators and the 10-week RSI.

The chart for Salesforce got my attention for the opposite reason. The stock peaked in August and has been falling since then. The weekly stochastic indicators recently reached oversold territory for the first time in a number of years. I also couldn’t help but notice that the indicators have just made a bullish crossover.

If we look at the fundamental and technical indicators on the Tickeron Screener, both companies do well on the technical side with both getting four bullish signals. Intuit does have one bearish signal and Salesforce has two bearish signals. Both stocks have received bullish signals in the MACD indicators and the Momentum Indicator and all of the signals have come within the last three days.

On the fundamental side, Intuit gets three positive readings and no negative readings. Salesforce gets two positive readings and three negative readings. Despite having more negative readings than positive readings, Salesforce gets positive readings in two categories that I value greatly—the Profit vs. Risk Rating and the SMR Rating. Intuit gets positive readings in both of those categories as well and it gets another positive reading from its Valuation Rating.

The companies are scheduled to report earnings toward the end of February and beginning of March. Salesforce’s earnings are expected to grow by 13.6% compared to the same quarter one year ago while revenue is expected to jump 17%. Intuit’s EPS is expected to increase by 10.3% and its revenue is expected to grow by 15.2%. The earnings and revenue growth have been big drivers in the rallies for these stocks over the last few years. As it stands now, analysts expect their growth to continue.

Here is the complete comparison between Salesforce and Intuit from Tickeron.

Related Ticker: CRM

CRM in +0.84% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on May 20, 2024

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where CRM advanced for three days, in of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CRM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CRM just turned positive on May 06, 2024. Looking at past instances where CRM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where CRM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 24, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CRM as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CRM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for CRM entered a downward trend on May 10, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.916) is normal, around the industry mean (30.149). P/E Ratio (71.967) is within average values for comparable stocks, (157.132). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.620) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.082) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.532) is also within normal values, averaging (56.422).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.35B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 20%. ONMD experienced the highest price growth at 395%, while MTC experienced the biggest fall at -93%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 29% and the average quarterly volume growth was 221%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 75
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 84
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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CRMDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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a developer of on-demand customer relationship management software technology

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