The software industry has performed extremely well over the last couple of years. Many of the stocks are among the highest rated when it comes to strong fundamentals and the price performance reflects that.
Looking through a bunch of weekly charts recently, there were two software companies that really jumped out at me. Intuit (INTU) and Salesforce.com (CRM) both jumped out, but for different reasons. Intuit was overbought and has pulled back a little over the last few weeks after it hit the upper rail of a trend channel. The pullback has been just enough to move the stock out of overbought territory based on the weekly stochastic indicators and the 10-week RSI.
The chart for Salesforce got my attention for the opposite reason. The stock peaked in August and has been falling since then. The weekly stochastic indicators recently reached oversold territory for the first time in a number of years. I also couldn’t help but notice that the indicators have just made a bullish crossover.
If we look at the fundamental and technical indicators on the Tickeron Screener, both companies do well on the technical side with both getting four bullish signals. Intuit does have one bearish signal and Salesforce has two bearish signals. Both stocks have received bullish signals in the MACD indicators and the Momentum Indicator and all of the signals have come within the last three days.
On the fundamental side, Intuit gets three positive readings and no negative readings. Salesforce gets two positive readings and three negative readings. Despite having more negative readings than positive readings, Salesforce gets positive readings in two categories that I value greatly—the Profit vs. Risk Rating and the SMR Rating. Intuit gets positive readings in both of those categories as well and it gets another positive reading from its Valuation Rating.
The companies are scheduled to report earnings toward the end of February and beginning of March. Salesforce’s earnings are expected to grow by 13.6% compared to the same quarter one year ago while revenue is expected to jump 17%. Intuit’s EPS is expected to increase by 10.3% and its revenue is expected to grow by 15.2%. The earnings and revenue growth have been big drivers in the rallies for these stocks over the last few years. As it stands now, analysts expect their growth to continue.
Here is the complete comparison between Salesforce and Intuit from Tickeron.
CRM moved below its 50-day moving average on April 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 31 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 04, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CRM as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 10-day moving average for CRM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 15, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for CRM entered a downward trend on April 24, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CRM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CRM advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CRM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.916) is normal, around the industry mean (29.911). P/E Ratio (71.967) is within average values for comparable stocks, (155.220). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.620) is also within normal values, averaging (2.725). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.081) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.532) is also within normal values, averaging (55.249).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a developer of on-demand customer relationship management software technology
Industry PackagedSoftware