Paychex, Inc. posted first-quarter fiscal 2022 adjusted earnings of $1.03 per share, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.2% . The earnings grew +15.7% from the year-ago quarter.
The payroll solutions company’s revenues rose +11.4% year over year to $1.2 billion, beating expectations by 1.8%.(as reported by Zacks Equity Research).
Revenues from Management Solutions segment were up +12% year over year to $905.5 million. Professional employer organization (“PEO”) and Insurance Solutions revenues rose +8% from the year-ago quarter to $282.8 million.
For fiscal 2023, Paychex lowered its adjusted earnings per share forecast to imply 11-12% growth (vs. prior expectation of 9-10% growth). The company reiterated revenues growth outlook of 7-8%.
PAYX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 32 cases where PAYX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 52 cases where PAYX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 28, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PAYX as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PAYX just turned positive on March 28, 2024. Looking at past instances where PAYX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
PAYX moved above its 50-day moving average on March 28, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAYX advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PAYX moved out of overbought territory on February 21, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The 10-day moving average for PAYX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 25, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAYX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for PAYX entered a downward trend on March 28, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PAYX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.407) is normal, around the industry mean (9.658). P/E Ratio (27.007) is within average values for comparable stocks, (29.199). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.971) is also within normal values, averaging (3.060). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. PAYX's P/S Ratio (8.540) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.442).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of payroll processing and other human resources services
Industry PersonnelServices