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Sep 30, 2022
Paychex (PAYX, $113.98) beats fiscal Q1 earnings expectations

Paychex (PAYX, $113.98) beats fiscal Q1 earnings expectations

Paychex, Inc. posted first-quarter fiscal 2022 adjusted earnings of $1.03 per share, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.2% . The earnings grew +15.7% from the year-ago quarter.

The payroll solutions company’s revenues rose +11.4% year over year to $1.2 billion, beating expectations by 1.8%.(as reported by Zacks Equity Research).

 Revenues from Management Solutions segment were up +12% year over year to $905.5 million. Professional employer organization (“PEO”) and Insurance Solutions revenues rose +8% from the year-ago quarter to $282.8 million.

For fiscal 2023, Paychex lowered its adjusted earnings per share forecast to imply 11-12% growth (vs. prior expectation of 9-10% growth). The company reiterated revenues growth outlook of 7-8%.

Related Ticker: PAYX

PAYX in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on April 09, 2026

PAYX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 39 cases where PAYX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAYX advanced for three days, in of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PAYX as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PAYX turned negative on April 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAYX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for PAYX entered a downward trend on March 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.639) is normal, around the industry mean (11.084). P/E Ratio (18.890) is within average values for comparable stocks, (71.862). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.639) is also within normal values, averaging (1.719). Dividend Yield (0.051) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.878) is also within normal values, averaging (55.184).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAYX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PAYX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 96, placing this stock better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Zoom Communications Inc (NASDAQ:ZM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 5.84B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 189.89B. SAPGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 189.89B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. AIXI experienced the highest price growth at 658%, while NMYSF experienced the biggest fall at -89%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 22%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 120% and the average quarterly volume growth was 51%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 78
Price Growth Rating: 68
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 96
Seasonality Score: -12 (-100 ... +100)
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PAYX
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. PAYX showed earnings on March 25, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of payroll processing and other human resources services

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Data Processing Services
Address
911 Panorama Trail South
Phone
+1 585 385-6666
Employees
16600
Web
https://www.paychex.com
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