Paychex (PAYX, $95.25) beats fiscal Q3 expectations; but has year-over-year declines
Payroll management company Paychex beat fiscal-third-quarter earnings expectations. However, it experienced year-over-year decline in fiscal-third-quarter earnings and revenue.
For the three months ended Feb. 28, adjusted earnings came in at 96 cents a share, compared with 97 cents in the year-ago quarter. Analysts polled by FactSet expected 92 cents a share.
Revenue fell -2.6% year-over-year to $1.11 billion, in line with analysts’ estimates.
"Client retention remains strong and at record levels, and our results for the third quarter show that our resilient business model has helped us navigate the uncertainties created by COVID-19," President and Chief Executive Martin Mucci said in a statement.
Looking ahead, Paychex expects both revenue and adjusted earnings per share to range between flat with to down -2% in fiscal 2021.
PAYX's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for PAYX moved out of oversold territory on September 27, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 27 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 52 cases where PAYX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAYX advanced for three days, in of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
PAYX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 07, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PAYX as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
PAYX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 06, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PAYX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 12, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAYX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for PAYX entered a downward trend on October 03, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAYX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.455) is normal, around the industry mean (5.360). P/E Ratio (25.773) is within average values for comparable stocks, (41.615). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.986) is also within normal values, averaging (1.987). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. PAYX's P/S Ratio (8.104) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.459).
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a provider of payroll processing and other human resources services
Industry PersonnelServices
PAYX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAYX has been closely correlated with ADP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAYX jumps, then ADP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAYX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAYX | 100% | +0.38% | ||
| ADP - PAYX | 86% Closely correlated | +0.47% | ||
| KFY - PAYX | 59% Loosely correlated | +0.15% | ||
| MAN - PAYX | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.39% | ||
| RHI - PAYX | 54% Loosely correlated | +2.49% | ||
| KFRC - PAYX | 47% Loosely correlated | +0.60% | ||
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