Paychex (PAYX, $95.25) beats fiscal Q3 expectations; but has year-over-year declines

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PAYX as a result. In 49 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PAYX just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where PAYX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Following a +3.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAYX advanced for three days, in 167 of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PAYX moved out of overbought territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 13 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 46%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAYX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

PAYX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for PAYX entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAYX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PAYX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.115) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.637). P/E Ratio (22.956) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.502). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.848) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.077) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.452) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).