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published in Blogs
Apr 25, 2019

PayPal (PYPL, $109.47) beats earnings expectations, with rising payment volume

PayPal Holdings’ first quarter earnings surpassed analysts’ estimates.

The online payments systems company reported adjusted earnings of 78 cents a share, which exceeded the 68 cents expected by analysts surveyed by FactSet. The figure is also higher than the year-ago quarter’s 57 cents a year.

The company’s revenue of $4.13 billion was in line with analysts' estimates.

PayPal added 9.3 million new active accounts during the quarter, leading to a total count of 277 million. Total payment volume increased to $161 billion, compared to analysts’ expectations of $163 billion.

Reporting for its Venmo peer-to-peer digital payment service, PayPal said that around 40 million people used it for at least one transaction in the last 12 months, contributing up to $21 billion in total payment volume in the first quarter.

Looking ahead, PayPal expects revenue to range between $4.3 billion and $4.34 billion for the current quarter. It estimates adjusted per-share earnings to come in between 68 cents and 70 cents for the quarter. For the full year, the company bumped up its earnings per share outlook to between $2.94 and $3.01.

Related Ticker: PYPL

PYPL in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on February 08, 2024

PYPL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 38 cases where PYPL's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 23, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PYPL as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PYPL just turned positive on February 28, 2024. Looking at past instances where PYPL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PYPL advanced for three days, in of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where PYPL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

PYPL moved below its 50-day moving average on February 08, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PYPL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 13, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PYPL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for PYPL entered a downward trend on February 20, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PYPL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.053) is normal, around the industry mean (4.400). P/E Ratio (15.617) is within average values for comparable stocks, (29.469). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.497) is also within normal values, averaging (4.039). PYPL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.047). P/S Ratio (2.230) is also within normal values, averaging (24.442).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PYPL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are VISA (NYSE:V), Mastercard (NYSE:MA), American Express Company (NYSE:AXP), PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ:PYPL), Capital One Financial (NYSE:COF), United Rentals (NYSE:URI), Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS), Synchrony Financial (NYSE:SYF), SLM Corp (NASDAQ:SLM), Bread Financial Holdings (NYSE:BFH).

Industry description

A leasing company (e.g. United Rentals, Inc. ) is typically the legal owner of the asset for the duration of the lease, while the lessee has operating control over the asset while also having some share of the economic risks and returns from the change in the valuation of the underlying asset. Per capita disposable income and corporate earnings or cash flow could be some of the critical metrics for this business – the higher the values of these metrics, the potentially greater ability of consumers/businesses to afford apartments/office spaces for rent. Other finance companies include credit/debit card payment processing companies (e.g. Visa Inc. and Mastercard), private label credit cards providers (e.g. Synchrony Financial) and automobile finance companies (e.g. Credit Acceptance Corporation).

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Finance/Rental/Leasing Industry is 11.1B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.17K to 581.63B. V holds the highest valuation in this group at 581.63B. The lowest valued company is AZNVF at 2.17K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Finance/Rental/Leasing Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 18%. STXMF experienced the highest price growth at 245%, while AAN experienced the biggest fall at -31%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Finance/Rental/Leasing Industry was 5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -5% and the average quarterly volume growth was 26%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: -21 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: TECHNOLOGY ETFs
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PYPLDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of digital and mobile payments on behalf of consumers and merchants

Industry FinanceRentalLeasing

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Data Processing Services
Address
2211 North First Street
Phone
+1 408 967-1000
Employees
27200
Web
https://www.paypal.com
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PYPL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PYPL has been loosely correlated with UPBD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PYPL jumps, then UPBD could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PYPL
1D Price
Change %
PYPL100%
-0.94%
UPBD - PYPL
46%
Loosely correlated
-1.49%
PRAA - PYPL
46%
Loosely correlated
-4.20%
RKT - PYPL
43%
Loosely correlated
-1.71%
AXP - PYPL
41%
Loosely correlated
-0.34%
BBDC - PYPL
40%
Loosely correlated
-0.10%
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