PayPal (PYPL, $109.47) beats earnings expectations, with rising payment volume
PayPal Holdings’ first quarter earnings surpassed analysts’ estimates.
The online payments systems company reported adjusted earnings of 78 cents a share, which exceeded the 68 cents expected by analysts surveyed by FactSet. The figure is also higher than the year-ago quarter’s 57 cents a year.
The company’s revenue of $4.13 billion was in line with analysts' estimates.
PayPal added 9.3 million new active accounts during the quarter, leading to a total count of 277 million. Total payment volume increased to $161 billion, compared to analysts’ expectations of $163 billion.
Reporting for its Venmo peer-to-peer digital payment service, PayPal said that around 40 million people used it for at least one transaction in the last 12 months, contributing up to $21 billion in total payment volume in the first quarter.
Looking ahead, PayPal expects revenue to range between $4.3 billion and $4.34 billion for the current quarter. It estimates adjusted per-share earnings to come in between 68 cents and 70 cents for the quarter. For the full year, the company bumped up its earnings per share outlook to between $2.94 and $3.01.
PYPL sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
PYPL saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on December 02, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PYPL moved out of overbought territory on November 14, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where PYPL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PYPL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
PYPL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 29, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PYPL as a result. In of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PYPL advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 293 cases where PYPL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. PYPL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.310) is normal, around the industry mean (4.868). P/E Ratio (16.930) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.482). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.600) is also within normal values, averaging (3.039). PYPL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (2.417) is also within normal values, averaging (3.429).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PYPL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of digital and mobile payments on behalf of consumers and merchants
Industry FinanceRentalLeasing