Pharmaceutical company Pfizer Inc. agreed to provide 600 million doses of its developing coronavirus vaccine to the U.S. government.
In an agreement with the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services and the Department of Defense, Pfizer, and its German partner, BioNTech BNTX, will receive $1.95 billion for the first 100 million doses of its BNT162 mRNA-based vaccine. The contract also has the potential for 500 million more doses to be made further. The vaccine is subject to regulatory approval.
Last week, Pfizer’s BNT162 vaccine candidates received 'fast track' designation by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, based on preliminary data from Phase 1 and Phase 2 studies.
According to Tickeron, PFE's price moved above its 50-day Moving Average on July 15, 2020
This price move indicates a change in the trend, and may be a buy signal for investors. In 24 of 47 cases where PFE's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 51%
Current price $38.30 crossed the support line at $37.37 and is trading between $38.46 resistance and $37.37 support lines. Throughout the month of 06/18/20 - 07/21/20, the price experienced a +10% Uptrend. During the week of 07/14/20 - 07/21/20, the stock enjoyed a +4% Uptrend growth.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 01, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 43 of 91 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 47%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where PFE's MACD histogram became positive, in 23 of 51 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 45%.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PFE advanced for three days, in 133 of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 42%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day Moving Average crossing below its 200-day Moving Average indicates a sell signal, due to the trend repositioning lower. In 1 of 4 cases where PFE's 50-day Moving Average crossed below its 200-day Moving Average, its price fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 25%.
The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 19 of 37 cases where PFE's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 51%.
The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 89 of 182 cases where PFE Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 49%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 64%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 2.24 to 1.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 1 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.47) is normal, around the industry mean (-3.05). P/E Ratio (13.13) is within average values for comparable stocks, (215.05). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.25) is also within normal values, averaging (35.76). PFE's Dividend Yield (3.73) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.26). P/S Ratio (3.42) is also within normal values, averaging (227.14).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PFE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where PFE declined for three days, in of 316 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 25, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PFE as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PFE turned negative on April 02, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
PFE moved below its 50-day moving average on April 03, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PFE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 08, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for PFE entered a downward trend on April 19, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PFE's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 48 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 11 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PFE advanced for three days, in of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
PFE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.763) is normal, around the industry mean (5.632). P/E Ratio (74.919) is within average values for comparable stocks, (48.974). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.281) is also within normal values, averaging (3.004). Dividend Yield (0.060) settles around the average of (0.164) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.674) is also within normal values, averaging (3.643).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PFE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PFE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of vaccines and injectable biologic medicines
Industry PharmaceuticalsMajor