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published in Blogs
Nov 09, 2020
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Pfizer (PFE, $40.47)and BioNTech coronavirus vaccine more than 90% effective

Pfizer (PFE, $40.47)and BioNTech coronavirus vaccine more than 90% effective

On Monday, Pfizer and BioNTech announced that their coronavirus vaccine was more than 90% effective in preventing Covid-19 among those without evidence of prior infection

“I think we can see light at the end of the tunnel,” Pfizer Chairman and CEO Dr. Albert Bourla told CNBC’s Meg Tirell on “Squawk Box.” “I believe this is likely the most significant medical advance in the last 100 years, if you count the impact this will have in public health, global economy.”

The coronavirus pandemic has claimed over 1.2 million lives worldwide.

Pfizer’s findings were based on the first interim efficacy analysis conducted by an external Data Monitoring Committee from the phase three clinical study. By evaluating 94 confirmed Covid-19 infections among the trial’s 43,538 participants, the analysis was split between vaccinated individuals and those who received a placebo. The result showed a vaccine efficacy rate of above 90% at seven days after the second dose.

Stock markets skyrocketed on the news. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed +1,646 points. By late morning, the Dow was up +3.7%.

Related Ticker: PFE

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


PFE sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

PFE saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 05, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 67%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PFE moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 14 of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 54%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 58 cases where PFE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PFE as a result. In 47 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PFE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +2.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PFE advanced for three days, in 152 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 86 of 195 cases where PFE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 44%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. PFE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 42 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 96 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.966) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.421). P/E Ratio (38.169) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.700). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (13.137) is also within normal values, averaging (5.738). Dividend Yield (0.059) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.469) is also within normal values, averaging (4.033).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PFE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), ABBVIE (NYSE:ABBV), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), AstraZeneca PLC (NYSE:AZN), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (NYSE:BMY), Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB).

Industry description

The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry is 215.99B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.8K to 1.21T. LLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.21T. The lowest valued company is NEWG at 4.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. SNY experienced the highest price growth at 6%, while NSRX experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was -12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 21% and the average quarterly volume growth was 8%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 31
Price Growth Rating: 41
SMR Rating: 59
Profit Risk Rating: 58
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of vaccines and injectable biologic medicines

Industry PharmaceuticalsMajor

Industry
Pharmaceuticals Major
Address
66 Hudson Boulevard East
Phone
+1 212 733-2323
Employees
75000
Web
https://www.pfizer.com
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