PG vs. CL vs. UL: Consumer Staples Earnings Preview
Key Takeaways
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Procter & Gamble (PG) reports fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on January 22, with consensus expecting modest revenue growth amid commodity and tariff pressures. EPS is forecast at ~$1.87, slightly below last year’s $1.88.
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Colgate-Palmolive (CL) is set to release Q4 2025 earnings on January 30, while Unilever (UL) reports full-year 2025 results on February 12.
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All three companies operate in the defensive consumer staples sector, facing similar headwinds from cautious consumer spending and rising input costs.
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PG’s scale and brand portfolio provide resilience, though near-term margins remain under scrutiny.
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Comparing these companies highlights differences in geographic exposure, category focus, and growth drivers across household and personal care.
Why This Comparison Matters
Procter & Gamble’s upcoming Q2 earnings provide an early lens into the consumer staples sector, where demand for essential household and personal care products tends to remain stable despite economic uncertainty. Comparing PG with peers Colgate-Palmolive and Unilever offers investors insight into sector dynamics, as all three compete in overlapping categories such as beauty, grooming, oral care, and home care.
Key industry trends include muted volume growth in developed markets, stronger emerging market demand, and ongoing cost pressures from commodities and tariffs. Recent performance demonstrates pricing power but cautious consumer behavior, making this trio a key benchmark for defensive investing amid macro volatility.
Procter & Gamble (PG) Earnings Preview
PG reports fiscal Q2 2026 results (quarter ending December 2025) before market open on January 22, followed by a conference call at 8:30 AM ET. Consensus estimates project:
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Revenue: ~$22.23 billion, up ~1.6% year-over-year
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EPS: ~$1.87, slightly below $1.88 in the prior year
Investors will focus on:
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Organic sales growth (1–2% projected)
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Volume trends across Beauty, Grooming, and Fabric & Home Care
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Margin impacts from commodity costs and tariffs
Historically, PG’s earnings reactions have been mixed, often influenced by cost management guidance and category performance.
Colgate-Palmolive (CL) Earnings Preview
CL releases Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings on January 30 before market open, with a conference call at 8:30 AM ET. While consensus details for Q4 are limited, the company has shown consistent strength in:
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Oral care and pet nutrition
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Premium product innovation
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Emerging market recovery
Compared with PG, CL benefits from stronger exposure to high-margin personal care segments, though it faces similar cost pressures. Recent trends emphasize volume-led growth and advertising efficiency.
Unilever (UL) Earnings Preview
UL reports Q4 and full-year 2025 results on February 12, 2026. Recent Q3 trading updates indicated:
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Underlying sales growth of 3.9%, supported by power brands
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Volume gains of ~1.5%
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Full-year guidance targeting 3–5% underlying growth
UL’s broader emerging market exposure supports higher growth potential, and ongoing portfolio restructuring—including the ice cream business demerger—positions the company to improve margins over time.
Head-to-Head Comparison
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PG: Massive scale, U.S.-centric portfolio, defensive revenue base; resilient to volume softness but near-term margin pressure from input costs.
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CL: Strong oral and personal care margins, premium segment focus, disciplined volume growth.
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UL: Greater exposure to emerging markets, premiumization tailwinds, and restructuring opportunities; potential for higher growth but with operational execution risk.
Shared risks include commodity inflation, tariffs, and cautious consumer spending in developed markets. Investor sentiment favors stability, with PG often trading at a premium for its consistent execution, while UL’s restructuring and CL’s niche category strength offer differentiated opportunities.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently show a moderate near-term preference for PG, citing defensive earnings stability, brand moat, and historical resilience during economic uncertainty. Key probabilistic factors include sustained organic growth and trend strength relative to peers. Outcomes will hinge on upcoming earnings releases and broader macro developments.
Tickeron AI
Disclaimers and Limitations
PG sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
PG saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 08, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where PG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PG as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
PG moved above its 50-day moving average on July 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PG advanced for three days, in of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 267 cases where PG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.369) is normal, around the industry mean (27.137). P/E Ratio (21.487) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.015). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.128) is also within normal values, averaging (2.866). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.119) is also within normal values, averaging (2.336).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a provider of branded consumer packaged goods
Industry HouseholdPersonalCare
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