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Nov 28, 2023

$PM, $MO, $BTI, $VGR, $UVV Fuel Tobacco Sector's +17.55% Monthly Jump

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Tobacco Sector's Remarkable 17.55% Monthly Surge: A Deep Dive into Its Market Dynamics

In this blog, we explore the significant growth in the Tobacco sector, which has seen an impressive 17.55% gain over the past month. We'll analyze the performance of leading companies like $PM, $MO, and $BTI, focusing on market movements and the evolving landscape of tobacco and e-cigarette products.

Tickers in this Group:

$MO $PM $BTI $VGR $UVV $TPB $ISPR

Detailed Ticker Analysis

  1. $MO (Altria Group)

    • RSI Indicator: The recovery from oversold territory suggests a potential upward trend.
    • Stock Outlook: With a 61% probability of further growth, $MO appears poised for a rebound.
  2. $PM (Philip Morris International)

    • Momentum Indicator: A positive shift suggests new growth potential.
    • Market Position: $PM's current trajectory indicates a strong potential for continued growth.
  3. $BTI (British American Tobacco)

    • Uptrend Momentum: A consistent rise in price over three days signals bullish potential.
    • Trading Strategy: The stock's current performance suggests it could be a strategic choice for growth-focused portfolios.
  4. $VGR (Vector Group)

    • RSI Indicator: Emerging from oversold territory, indicating potential for upward movement.
    • Stock Performance: Given its recovery and positive indicators, $VGR might be a stock to watch.
  5. $UVV (Universal Corporation)

    • Moving Averages: The bullish crossover in MA indicates a potential upward trend.
    • Investment Outlook: With a high likelihood of continued growth, $UVV stands out as a promising investment.

🚬 Tobacco Sector Overview

The Tobacco industry, known for its production and distribution of tobacco and related products, is currently experiencing a notable uptick. This sector includes traditional tobacco products and emerging alternatives like e-cigarettes.

📈 Recent Market Movements The sector boasts a "Buy" rating, with a positive outlook supported by various market indicators. Let's delve into the elements contributing to this upswing:

💹 Industry Dynamics

  • Positive Outlook: Backed by the Volume Indicator and Stock Fear & Greed Index, the sector's current sentiment is bullish.
  • Market Adaptation: Companies are adapting to changing consumer habits, including a shift towards vaping and e-cigarettes.

🌍 Global Marketing Efforts

  • Marketing Expenditure: In 2017, tobacco companies invested heavily in marketing, indicating their commitment to maintaining market presence.
  • Impact on Industry: These investments play a crucial role in shaping market trends and consumer preferences.

💰 Market Capitalization

  • Varied Valuations: The sector's market cap ranges from $PM's staggering 146.5B to $VHUB's modest 160.4K.
  • Market Cap Movements: Such diversity in valuation underscores the sector's wide array of companies and market positions.

📉 Price Movement Analysis

  • Weekly and Monthly Growth: An average monthly growth of 8.19% highlights the sector's strong performance.
  • Notable Price Changes: While $VPRB leads with a significant 20.55% increase, $XXII experienced a substantial drop, showcasing the sector's varied performance.

🔊 Volume Insights

  • Volume Growth Trends: The fluctuation in weekly and monthly volume growth reflects active trading and investor interest in the sector.
  • Significant Volume Changes: Record-breaking volume growth in stocks like $TPB points to specific companies gaining investor attention.

📊 Fundamental Analysis Ratings

  • Comprehensive Ratings: An overview of various fundamental analysis ratings provides deeper insights into the sector's financial health.
  • Key Ratings: Strong ratings in Valuation, P/E Growth, and SMR suggest solid fundamentals underpinning the sector.

🔍 Sector Outlook

The Tobacco sector, driven by companies like $PM, $MO, $BTI, $TPB, and $UVV, is experiencing a period of significant growth. This trend is fueled by strategic marketing efforts, product diversification, and evolving consumer preferences. As global health perspectives continue to influence tobacco consumption, this sector remains a complex yet potentially rewarding area for investment.

The Tobacco sector's recent performance is a testament to its adaptability and market resilience. With diverse market capitalizations, dynamic price movements, and solid fundamentals, this sector offers a range of opportunities for informed investment decisions. Keep an eye on these developments for strategic trading insights in this evolving industry. 🌟📈

Related Ticker: MO, PM, BTI, VGR, UVV, TPB, ISPR

MO in +1.68% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on June 23, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where MO advanced for three days, in of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

MO moved above its 50-day moving average on June 11, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 310 cases where MO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MO moved out of overbought territory on June 24, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where MO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 26, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MO as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MO turned negative on June 26, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 23, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (4.002). P/E Ratio (9.837) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.201). MO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.018) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.990). Dividend Yield (0.070) settles around the average of (0.055) among similar stocks. MO's P/S Ratio (4.926) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.102).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM), Altria Group (NYSE:MO).

Industry description

The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Tobacco Industry is 30.1B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 9 to 283.49B. PM holds the highest valuation in this group at 283.49B. The lowest valued company is AHII at 9.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 26%. CHUC experienced the highest price growth at 10%, while KAVL experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was -43%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 130% and the average quarterly volume growth was 56%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: -22 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a holding company which produces and markets tobacco products

Industry Tobacco

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Tobacco
Address
6601 West Broad Street
Phone
+1 804 274-2200
Employees
6400
Web
https://www.altria.com
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