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Pool Corp. (POOL, $454.83) beat Q4 expectations
Pool Corporation posted fourth-quarter 2021 earnings and revenues that exceeded Zacks Consensus Estimate. The figures also rose from the same quarter a year ago.
During fourth-quarter 2021, the wholesale distributor of swimming pool supplies reported adjusted earnings of $2.30 per share, well above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.97. In the prior-year quarter, the company’s adjusted earnings were $1.30 per share.
Net revenues rose +23.4% from the year-ago quarter to $1,035.6 million in the quarter surpassed the consensus expectations of $979 million.
Pool Corp’s revenues in the Base Business segment surged +22.3% year over year to $990.7 million. Operating income climbed +66.4% year over year to $127.8 million, while operating margin expanded 340 basis points (bps) to 12.9%.
The Excluded segment generated net revenues of $44.9 million in the fourth quarter compared with $29.4 million reported in the prior-year quarter. The segment’s operating loss came in at -$2.5 million against an operating income of $127.9 million of the year-ago quarter. The segment’s operating margin for the quarter was 0.2%, narrower than the year-ago period’s 8.4%.
For the year 2022, Pool Corp. projects adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $17-$17.75, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $16.57.
POOL in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on May 11, 2022
POOL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 19 of 24 cases where POOL's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Current price $400.86 crossed the resistance line at $395.44 and is trading between $407.02 resistance and $395.44 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 04/26/22 - 05/26/22, the price experienced a -3% Downtrend, while the week of 05/19/22 - 05/26/22 shows a +2% Uptrend.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for POOL just turned positive on May 13, 2022. Looking at past instances where POOL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +3.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where POOL advanced for three days, in 243 of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 35 of 72 cases where POOL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 26, 2022. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on POOL as a result. In 47 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where POOL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
The Aroon Indicator for POOL entered a downward trend on May 23, 2022. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 66%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.12 to 1.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 41 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (13.661) is normal, around the industry mean (125.106). P/E Ratio (22.321) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.749). POOL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.771). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.865) is also within normal values, averaging (20.476).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. POOL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Leisure and Recreation Products industry includes companies offering recreational goods/services such as video games, swimming pools, golf courses, boats, outdoor spaces etc. Since these are mainly geared towards consumers, strong employment conditions and healthy incomes generally augur well for the recreational products industry. Some of the largest market caps in this space belong to video game developers (e.g. Activision Blizzard, Electronic Arts and Take-two Interactive), and toy /board game makers (like Hasbro).
The average market capitalization across the Recreational Products Industry is 3.9B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 15.1K to 49.8B. OLCLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 49.8B. The lowest valued company is SPQS at 15.1K.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Recreational Products Industry was -3.18%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.25%. HLBZ experienced the highest price growth at 14.95%, while KICK experienced the biggest fall at -53.95%.
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Recreational Products Industry was -43.2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 23.57% and the average quarterly volume growth was 22.52%
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Stocks in the group have a Negative Outlook today, backed by the MA200MA50 Indicator. Tickeron has a negative outlook on this group and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 42%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.12.
38 stocks in the group of tickers confirmed the negative outlook based on the Aroon indicator with average odds of 76%.
The most notable companies in this group are Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG), Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON), YETI Holdings (NYSE:YETI), MasterCraft Boat Holdings (NASDAQ:MCFT).
The average market capitalization across the group is 3.3B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 8.8M to 27B. ANPDF holds the highest valuation in this group at 27B. The lowest valued company is LMSBF at 8.8M.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was 0.7%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was -4.64%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.35%. PMTYF experienced the highest price growth at 34.8%, while GBBYF experienced the biggest fall at -25.9%.
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The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was 25.02%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was 49.1% and the average quarterly volume growth was 338.12%
- 5/25/22 7:27 AM: The volume for Nautilus stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 347% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 5/25/22 7:27 AM: The volume for Clarus stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 268% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 5/21/22 6:24 AM: The volume for Nautilus stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 211% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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