Powell wants asset tapering to begin this year
On Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that he was one of the majority of Fed officials who believe the central bank can taper bond purchases this year.
In his Jackson Hole speech, Powell revealed that at the FOMC’s July meeting, he, along with most of the participants, opined that if the economy evolved broadly as anticipated, it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year.
Powell said that the Fed's "substantial further progress" test on inflation had been met, adding "clear progress" had been made on a return to maximum employment.
The Fed is currently buying $80 billion of Treasurys and $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities each month.
Powell did not mention when the Fed might formally announce the taper. Officials are divided about whether to announce it at their meeting on Sept. 20-21 or wait until November. The Fed chairman also didn’t specify the pace of the tapering.
Momentum Indicator for GOVT turns positive, indicating new upward trend
GOVT saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 02, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 90 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVT just turned positive on October 13, 2025. Looking at past instances where GOVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 58 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 195 cases where GOVT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GOVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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General Information
Category IntermediateGovernment
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