In the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets, Artificial Intelligence (AI) trading robots have emerged as potent tools for investors seeking an edge. The recent performance of the AI trading robots accessible through "Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA)" has caught the attention of market participants. Notably, these bots generated an impressive +10.22% gain in a week, with a focus on trading TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company).
Technical Analysis: Aroon Indicator Signals Bullish Momentum:
The Aroon Indicator, a technical tool designed to identify trends, played a pivotal role in the recent success of the AI trading bots. On January 09, 2024, TSM's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal, as detected by Tickeron's A.I.dvisor. The green AroonUp line soared above 70, while the red AroonDown line remained below 30. This pattern suggests a potential bullish move, prompting traders to consider buying the stock or call options.
A.I.dvisor's historical analysis of 280 similar instances revealed that in 206 cases, stocks moved higher in the days following such Aroon Indicator patterns, indicating a 74% probability of a positive price movement.
Earnings Report: TSM Beats Estimates:
The latest earnings report on January 18 showcased TSM's robust financial performance. Earnings per share stood at $1.44, surpassing the estimated $1.38. With 15.49 million shares outstanding, TSM's current market capitalization is an impressive $470.58 billion.
Market Capitalization Comparison:
Putting TSM's market cap into perspective within the Semiconductors Industry, where it operates, the average market capitalization is $31.22 billion. TSM stands out with its substantial valuation, yet it falls short of the industry's pinnacle, currently held by NVDA at $1.12 trillion. On the other end of the spectrum, CYBL holds the title of the lowest-valued company with a market cap of $13.43 thousand.
Price Movement Insights:
Analyzing price dynamics across the Semiconductors Industry provides additional context. The average weekly, monthly, and quarterly price growth across all stocks in the industry stood at 3%, 1%, and 2%, respectively. EMKR distinguished itself with a remarkable 29% weekly price growth, while ODII experienced a notable -33% decline during the same period.
Volume Dynamics:
Understanding volume trends is crucial for market participants. Across all Semiconductors Industry stocks, the average weekly volume growth was -5%. However, the monthly and quarterly metrics tell a different story, with average volume growth standing at 103% and 44%, respectively. These fluctuations underscore the importance of monitoring volume dynamics for a comprehensive trading strategy.
Summary:
The success of the AI trading robots in the context of TSM's recent performance and the broader Semiconductors Industry illuminates the growing influence of technology in shaping market outcomes. As investors navigate this landscape, combining technical analysis tools like the Aroon Indicator with a holistic understanding of market dynamics becomes imperative for informed decision-making.
TSM's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 23, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 255 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 255 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 11, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSM as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSM advanced for three days, in of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TSM moved out of overbought territory on October 18, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 68 cases where TSM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TSM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 17, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.508) is normal, around the industry mean (7.487). P/E Ratio (30.405) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.779). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.173) is also within normal values, averaging (2.825). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.669) is also within normal values, averaging (43.322).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of integrated circuits, silicon wafers, diodes and related semiconductor components
Industry Semiconductors