In the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets, Artificial Intelligence (AI) trading robots have emerged as potent tools for investors seeking an edge. The recent performance of the AI trading robots accessible through "Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA)" has caught the attention of market participants. Notably, these bots generated an impressive +10.22% gain in a week, with a focus on trading TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company).
Technical Analysis: Aroon Indicator Signals Bullish Momentum:
The Aroon Indicator, a technical tool designed to identify trends, played a pivotal role in the recent success of the AI trading bots. On January 09, 2024, TSM's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal, as detected by Tickeron's A.I.dvisor. The green AroonUp line soared above 70, while the red AroonDown line remained below 30. This pattern suggests a potential bullish move, prompting traders to consider buying the stock or call options.
A.I.dvisor's historical analysis of 280 similar instances revealed that in 206 cases, stocks moved higher in the days following such Aroon Indicator patterns, indicating a 74% probability of a positive price movement.
Earnings Report: TSM Beats Estimates:
The latest earnings report on January 18 showcased TSM's robust financial performance. Earnings per share stood at $1.44, surpassing the estimated $1.38. With 15.49 million shares outstanding, TSM's current market capitalization is an impressive $470.58 billion.
Market Capitalization Comparison:
Putting TSM's market cap into perspective within the Semiconductors Industry, where it operates, the average market capitalization is $31.22 billion. TSM stands out with its substantial valuation, yet it falls short of the industry's pinnacle, currently held by NVDA at $1.12 trillion. On the other end of the spectrum, CYBL holds the title of the lowest-valued company with a market cap of $13.43 thousand.
Price Movement Insights:
Analyzing price dynamics across the Semiconductors Industry provides additional context. The average weekly, monthly, and quarterly price growth across all stocks in the industry stood at 3%, 1%, and 2%, respectively. EMKR distinguished itself with a remarkable 29% weekly price growth, while ODII experienced a notable -33% decline during the same period.
Volume Dynamics:
Understanding volume trends is crucial for market participants. Across all Semiconductors Industry stocks, the average weekly volume growth was -5%. However, the monthly and quarterly metrics tell a different story, with average volume growth standing at 103% and 44%, respectively. These fluctuations underscore the importance of monitoring volume dynamics for a comprehensive trading strategy.
Summary:
The success of the AI trading robots in the context of TSM's recent performance and the broader Semiconductors Industry illuminates the growing influence of technology in shaping market outcomes. As investors navigate this landscape, combining technical analysis tools like the Aroon Indicator with a holistic understanding of market dynamics becomes imperative for informed decision-making.
The 10-day moving average for TSM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 25, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 15, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSM as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSM turned negative on April 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TSM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 60 cases where TSM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
TSM moved above its 50-day moving average on April 25, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSM advanced for three days, in of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TSM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.831) is normal, around the industry mean (6.522). P/E Ratio (26.908) is within average values for comparable stocks, (116.200). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.580) is also within normal values, averaging (2.602). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.428) is also within normal values, averaging (34.985).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of integrated circuits, silicon wafers, diodes and related semiconductor components
Industry Semiconductors