In the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets, Artificial Intelligence (AI) trading robots have emerged as potent tools for investors seeking an edge. The recent performance of the AI trading robots accessible through "Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA)" has caught the attention of market participants. Notably, these bots generated an impressive +10.22% gain in a week, with a focus on trading TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company).
Technical Analysis: Aroon Indicator Signals Bullish Momentum:
The Aroon Indicator, a technical tool designed to identify trends, played a pivotal role in the recent success of the AI trading bots. On January 09, 2024, TSM's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal, as detected by Tickeron's A.I.dvisor. The green AroonUp line soared above 70, while the red AroonDown line remained below 30. This pattern suggests a potential bullish move, prompting traders to consider buying the stock or call options.
A.I.dvisor's historical analysis of 280 similar instances revealed that in 206 cases, stocks moved higher in the days following such Aroon Indicator patterns, indicating a 74% probability of a positive price movement.
Earnings Report: TSM Beats Estimates:
The latest earnings report on January 18 showcased TSM's robust financial performance. Earnings per share stood at $1.44, surpassing the estimated $1.38. With 15.49 million shares outstanding, TSM's current market capitalization is an impressive $470.58 billion.
Market Capitalization Comparison:
Putting TSM's market cap into perspective within the Semiconductors Industry, where it operates, the average market capitalization is $31.22 billion. TSM stands out with its substantial valuation, yet it falls short of the industry's pinnacle, currently held by NVDA at $1.12 trillion. On the other end of the spectrum, CYBL holds the title of the lowest-valued company with a market cap of $13.43 thousand.
Price Movement Insights:
Analyzing price dynamics across the Semiconductors Industry provides additional context. The average weekly, monthly, and quarterly price growth across all stocks in the industry stood at 3%, 1%, and 2%, respectively. EMKR distinguished itself with a remarkable 29% weekly price growth, while ODII experienced a notable -33% decline during the same period.
Volume Dynamics:
Understanding volume trends is crucial for market participants. Across all Semiconductors Industry stocks, the average weekly volume growth was -5%. However, the monthly and quarterly metrics tell a different story, with average volume growth standing at 103% and 44%, respectively. These fluctuations underscore the importance of monitoring volume dynamics for a comprehensive trading strategy.
Summary:
The success of the AI trading robots in the context of TSM's recent performance and the broader Semiconductors Industry illuminates the growing influence of technology in shaping market outcomes. As investors navigate this landscape, combining technical analysis tools like the Aroon Indicator with a holistic understanding of market dynamics becomes imperative for informed decision-making.
TSM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on December 20, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 68 cases where TSM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 18, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSM as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TSM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TSM entered a downward trend on December 09, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
TSM moved above its 50-day moving average on December 13, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TSM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 05, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSM advanced for three days, in of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.319) is normal, around the industry mean (10.360). P/E Ratio (31.596) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.127). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.268) is also within normal values, averaging (3.148). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.516) is also within normal values, averaging (46.311).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of integrated circuits, silicon wafers, diodes and related semiconductor components
Industry Semiconductors