Progress Software's (PRGS, $38.28) Q3 revenue misses estimates
Shares of Progress Software shares declined Friday, after the company reported revenue that fell short of estimates.
The business applications maker’s third-quarter adjusted earnings came in at 75 cents, higher than the year-ago quarter's 55 cents.
Non-GAAP revenue for the quarter increased +25% to $115.5 million, which is lower than the Street estimate of $111 million.
For the fourth quarter, Progress Software has predicted non-GAAP earnings of 73 cents to 75 cents a share on revenue of $116 million to $119 million a share. Analysts had forecasted revenue of $123.2 million.
For the full year, Progress Software is expecting non-GAAP earnings to range between $2.63 and $2.65 a share, and revenue to come in between $425 million and $428 million.
Chief financial officer Paul Jalbert mentioned that the company expects its $225 million acquisition of Ipswich (completed in May) to bring in substantially all of the $15 million of cost synergies by the end of 2019 - which would be well ahead of schedule, according to Jalbert.
PRGS's RSI Oscillator stays in oversold zone for 1 day
It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 50-day moving average for PRGS moved above the 200-day moving average on June 27, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PRGS advanced for three days, in of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
PRGS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 227 cases where PRGS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 01, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PRGS as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PRGS turned negative on June 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
PRGS moved below its 50-day moving average on July 01, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PRGS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.960) is normal, around the industry mean (31.531). P/E Ratio (33.611) is within average values for comparable stocks, (164.477). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.614) is also within normal values, averaging (2.732). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.393) is also within normal values, averaging (62.143).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PRGS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a developer of real-time data management software
Industry PackagedSoftware
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