Protecting Your Financial Health During a Pandemic
If the Covid-19 global pandemic has you worried about your health and safety, I can assure you that you are not alone. These are challenging times, and we should all be following the guidance and advice of health experts as it relates to public safety.
But I also think this is the time that investors need to be focused on financial health.
As an investment expert – not a health expert – my advice to you is to create two distinct lanes for how you’re thinking during this public health crisis. In one lane, you have your feelings and actions as they relate to personal health and safety. This is your lane for heightened precautions, safety measures, and so on.
In the other lane, I think you maintain a positive, long-term outlook on how the economy and market are likely to stage a full recovery, with asset prices swinging back to new highs perhaps even by the end of the year. This is your rational, forward-looking lane. This mindset is extremely challenging to maintain when it feels like the sky is falling. But in my view, it’s views like this that separate the smart money from the not-so-smart money over time.
The fact that volatility tends to strike in scary clusters makes this kind of long-term thinking very difficult for many investors. We can easily get drawn into intense focus over what’s going to happen tomorrow versus what’s going to happen a year or five years from now. Short-term thinking is emotionally-driven; long-term thinking is data-driven. The latter is an investor’s key to success, especially in times like these.
We are starting to see a more coordinated fiscal, monetary, and organizational response to the crisis that I think will pay off in the next few months. It won’t feel that way as the media’s grip on the national consciousness – coupled with ongoing volatility and big down days – give the impression that nothing is working and the world is ending. Algorithmic trading platforms often exacerbate the ups and downs too, making each day feel unprecedented in some way. But as a nation we have gotten through myriad crises throughout our history, and we’ll get through this one, too. Investors just need to stay patient and smart.
One final note on volatility: 24 of the 25 best days in the market’s history have come within 30 days of the worst days in the market’s history. That’s almost 100% of huge upswings happening in close proximity to huge downswings! This should serve as a reminder to investors not to try and time the market. Missing the big up days can mean compromising your long-term returns.
Momentum Indicator for URTH turns negative, indicating new downward trend
URTH saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on December 17, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 77 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 77 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for URTH turned negative on December 13, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where URTH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where URTH's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 50 cases where URTH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
URTH moved above its 50-day moving average on December 24, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where URTH advanced for three days, in of 362 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
URTH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 375 cases where URTH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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Category ForeignLargeBlend