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Jan 03, 2023
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RedHill Biopharma (RDHL, $0.17) announces positive data of Phase 2 study of RHB-107 for COVID-19

RedHill Biopharma (RDHL, $0.17) announces positive data of Phase 2 study of RHB-107 for COVID-19

RedHill Biopharma Ltd announced positive observations from a Phase 2 study of RHB-107 (upamostat) in non-hospitalized symptomatic COVID-19 patients in the peer-reviewed International Journal of Infectious Diseases.

According to the results, there was a 100% reduction in hospitalization due to COVID-19, with zero patients (0/41) on the RHB-107 treated group versus 15% (3/20) hospitalized on the placebo group. It also revealed an approximate 88% reduction in reported new severe COVID-19 symptoms after treatment was initiated, with just 2.4% of the RHB-107 treated group (1/41) versus 20% (4/20) of patients in the placebo-controlled group reporting new severe COVID-19 symptoms.  Further investigation suggested a median of 3 days to recovery from severe COVID-19 symptoms with upamostat – much faster compared to eight days with placebo.

Related Ticker: RDHL

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


RDHL in +4.34% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on October 20, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where RDHL advanced for three days, in 152 of 194 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where RDHL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 36 of 49 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

RDHL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RDHL as a result. In 78 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RDHL turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 35 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RDHL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for RDHL entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 77 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (38.659) is normal, around the industry mean (8.329). P/E Ratio (-0.001) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-1.568). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.152). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.974) is also within normal values, averaging (178.797).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. RDHL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RDHL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (NYSE:TEVA), ZOETIS (NYSE:ZTS), Elanco Animal Health (NYSE:ELAN), Bausch Health Companies (NYSE:BHC), BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:BCRX), Tilray Brands Inc. (NASDAQ:TLRY), Canopy Growth Corp (NASDAQ:CGC), Aurora Cannabis (NASDAQ:ACB), Journey Medical Corp (NASDAQ:DERM).

Industry description

A generic drug contains the same chemical substance as a drug that was originally protected by patents. Generic drugs are generally sold at cheaper price points, compared to name-brand pharmaceuticals, after patents for the more expensive drugs lapse. The generic drug industry has created a major market, thanks to the lower pricing. According to the Center for Justice and Democracy at New York Law School, 80 percent of all drugs prescribed are generic, and generic drugs are chosen 94 percent of the time when they are available. But their manufacturers must be able to prove to the FDA that they can be effective substitutes for the original drugs. Some of the major generic drug makers include Zoetis, Inc., Allergan plc and Mylan N.V.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry is 4.34B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.12K to 68.49B. MKGAF holds the highest valuation in this group at 68.49B. The lowest valued company is CANQF at 2.12K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. BHC experienced the highest price growth at 27%, while UPC experienced the biggest fall at -65%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Generic Industry was 30%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -19% and the average quarterly volume growth was 7%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 43
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 87
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: 6 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a company which engages in acquisition and development of patented formulations

Industry PharmaceuticalsGeneric

Industry
Biotechnology
Address
21 Ha’arba’a Street
Phone
+972 35413131
Employees
13
Web
https://www.redhillbio.com
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