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Sep 16, 2021
Retail sales rise +0.7% in August, exceeding expectations

Retail sales rise +0.7% in August, exceeding expectations

U.S. retail sales climbed higher in August, according to data from the Commerce Department. That indicates that consumer spending is showing strength despite the Delta-variant spread and supply chain issues.

Retail sales rose +0.7% from the prior month to $618.7 billion in August, thereby beating the Street consensus forecast of a -0.8% decline. In July, retail sales fell -1.1% vs. a prior estimate of a -0.5% decline.

Stripping out auto and gasoline sales, August retail sales grew +1.8%, compared to a Street consensus of +0.1%

Related Ticker: XRT

Momentum Indicator for XRT turns positive, indicating new upward trend

XRT saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on May 26, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 91 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 91 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XRT just turned positive on May 26, 2026. Looking at past instances where XRT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XRT moved above its 50-day moving average on June 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XRT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 03, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XRT advanced for three days, in of 278 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for XRT moved out of overbought territory on June 15, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 66 cases where XRT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XRT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XRT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for XRT entered a downward trend on June 01, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Walmart (NASDAQ:WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ:COST), TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), Target Corp (NYSE:TGT), AutoZone (NYSE:AZO), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Kroger Co (The) (NYSE:KR), Dollar General Corp (NYSE:DG), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before fees and expenses, correspond generally to the total return performance of an index derived from the retail segment of a U.S. total market composite index. In seeking to track the performance of the S&P Retail Select Industry Index (the "index"), the fund employs a sampling strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index represents the retail segment of the S&P Total Market Index ("S&P TMI").

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the State Street® SPDR® S&P® Retail ETF ETF is 67.24B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 19.93M to 2.63T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.63T. The lowest valued company is CRMT at 19.93M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the State Street® SPDR® S&P® Retail ETF ETF was 27%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 254%, and the average quarterly price growth was 415%. REAL experienced the highest price growth at 25%, while GCO experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the State Street® SPDR® S&P® Retail ETF ETF was -2%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 13% and the average quarterly volume growth was -54%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 56
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 100
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: 25 (-100 ... +100)
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Category ConsumerDiscretionary

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