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Aug 12, 2019
Rio Tinto (RIO) hits bottom of 4-month range and gets a bullish signal

Rio Tinto (RIO) hits bottom of 4-month range and gets a bullish signal

London-based Rio Tinto Group (NYSE: RIO) is in the business of mining aluminum, silver, copper, and gold. The stock has been trading in a range between $57 and $64 for the last four months and it just recently hit the bottom of the range as the overbought/oversold indicators were hitting oversold levels. This could be a good sign for the stock over the next month. If you look at the range, it is 12.3% from the bottom to the top.

The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for Rio Tinto on July 29 and that signal showed a confidence level of 73%. Past predictions for the stock have been successful 65% of the time. This signal was a monthly signal and it calls for a gain of at least 4% within the next month.

From a fundamental perspective, Rio Tinto has produced mixed results. The earnings have grown at a rate of 44% per year over the last three years, but they were down by 2% in the most recent quarterly report. The company is expected to release earnings again on August 1.

The management efficiency measurements for the company are pretty strong with a return on equity of 19.9% and a profit margin of 32.5%. The company doesn’t have any long-term debt and that could be a plus if the global economy slips into a recession.

Related Ticker: RIO

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


Momentum Indicator for RIO turns positive, indicating new upward trend

RIO saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 19, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 80 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

RIO moved above its 50-day moving average on August 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for RIO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RIO advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 306 cases where RIO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for RIO moved out of overbought territory on August 26, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 66 cases where RIO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RIO turned negative on September 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RIO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

RIO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.555) is normal, around the industry mean (7.441). P/E Ratio (13.931) is within average values for comparable stocks, (121.876). RIO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.291). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.729) is also within normal values, averaging (289.088).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RIO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP), Vale SA (NYSE:VALE).

Industry description

The category includes companies that explore for, mine and extract metals, such as copper, diamonds, nickel, cobalt ore, lead, zinc and uranium. BHP, Rio Tinto and Southern Copper Corporation are major players in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Other Metals/Minerals Industry is 9.53B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 230 to 231.69B. BHP holds the highest valuation in this group at 231.69B. The lowest valued company is BAJFF at 230.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Other Metals/Minerals Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15%. GSM experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while IMC experienced the biggest fall at -33%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Other Metals/Minerals Industry was 6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -13% and the average quarterly volume growth was 35%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 75
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 92
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 15 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a miner of for mineral resources

Industry OtherMetalsMinerals

Profile
Details
Industry
Other Metals Or Minerals
Address
6 St James’s Square
Phone
+44 2077812000
Employees
57174
Web
https://www.riotinto.com
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