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Aug 12, 2019
Rio Tinto (RIO) hits bottom of 4-month range and gets a bullish signal

Rio Tinto (RIO) hits bottom of 4-month range and gets a bullish signal

London-based Rio Tinto Group (NYSE: RIO) is in the business of mining aluminum, silver, copper, and gold. The stock has been trading in a range between $57 and $64 for the last four months and it just recently hit the bottom of the range as the overbought/oversold indicators were hitting oversold levels. This could be a good sign for the stock over the next month. If you look at the range, it is 12.3% from the bottom to the top.

The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for Rio Tinto on July 29 and that signal showed a confidence level of 73%. Past predictions for the stock have been successful 65% of the time. This signal was a monthly signal and it calls for a gain of at least 4% within the next month.

From a fundamental perspective, Rio Tinto has produced mixed results. The earnings have grown at a rate of 44% per year over the last three years, but they were down by 2% in the most recent quarterly report. The company is expected to release earnings again on August 1.

The management efficiency measurements for the company are pretty strong with a return on equity of 19.9% and a profit margin of 32.5%. The company doesn’t have any long-term debt and that could be a plus if the global economy slips into a recession.

Related Ticker: RIO

RIO's Stochastic Oscillator sits in oversold zone for 11 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RIO advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

RIO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RIO as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RIO turned negative on June 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

RIO moved below its 50-day moving average on June 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for RIO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RIO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for RIO entered a downward trend on July 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.322) is normal, around the industry mean (11.622). P/E Ratio (14.596) is within average values for comparable stocks, (122.401). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.441). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.523) is also within normal values, averaging (253.724).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RIO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are BHP Group Limited (NYSE:BHP), Vale SA (NYSE:VALE), Teck Resources Limited (NYSE:TECK).

Industry description

The category includes companies that explore for, mine and extract metals, such as copper, diamonds, nickel, cobalt ore, lead, zinc and uranium. BHP, Rio Tinto and Southern Copper Corporation are major players in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Other Metals/Minerals Industry is 9.03B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 230 to 223.12B. BHPBF holds the highest valuation in this group at 223.12B. The lowest valued company is BAJFF at 230.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Other Metals/Minerals Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16%. FMST experienced the highest price growth at 28%, while REA experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Other Metals/Minerals Industry was 37%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -34%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 62
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 91
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: -1 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a miner of for mineral resources

Industry OtherMetalsMinerals

Profile
Details
Industry
Other Metals Or Minerals
Address
6 St James’s Square
Phone
+44 2077812000
Employees
57174
Web
https://www.riotinto.com
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