Rio Tinto (RIO) hits bottom of 4-month range and gets a bullish signal
London-based Rio Tinto Group (NYSE: RIO) is in the business of mining aluminum, silver, copper, and gold. The stock has been trading in a range between $57 and $64 for the last four months and it just recently hit the bottom of the range as the overbought/oversold indicators were hitting oversold levels. This could be a good sign for the stock over the next month. If you look at the range, it is 12.3% from the bottom to the top.
The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for Rio Tinto on July 29 and that signal showed a confidence level of 73%. Past predictions for the stock have been successful 65% of the time. This signal was a monthly signal and it calls for a gain of at least 4% within the next month.
From a fundamental perspective, Rio Tinto has produced mixed results. The earnings have grown at a rate of 44% per year over the last three years, but they were down by 2% in the most recent quarterly report. The company is expected to release earnings again on August 1.
The management efficiency measurements for the company are pretty strong with a return on equity of 19.9% and a profit margin of 32.5%. The company doesn’t have any long-term debt and that could be a plus if the global economy slips into a recession.
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RIO's Stochastic Oscillator is staying in oversold zone for 6 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +0.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RIO advanced for three days, in 239 of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
RIO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 214 of 306 cases where RIO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for RIO moved out of overbought territory on August 26, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 31 of the 47 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 66%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RIO as a result. In 41 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RIO turned negative on September 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 52%.
RIO moved below its 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RIO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.419) is normal, around the industry mean (12.095). P/E Ratio (13.190) is within average values for comparable stocks, (147.838). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.050) is also within normal values, averaging (1.027). RIO has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.048) as compared to the industry average of (0.010). P/S Ratio (2.541) is also within normal values, averaging (283.864).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RIO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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a miner of for mineral resources
Industry OtherMetalsMinerals
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