Rising Interest Rates Spur Outflows From Real Estate ETF (IYR, $78.70)
Investors are fleeing a major U.S. real-estate fund, as recent interest rate increases are apparently being viewed as potential headwinds for housing demand/real estate business.
The $3.8 billion iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF experienced $530 million outflows between Monday and Wednesday. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yields climbed to around 3.2% on Wednesday (its highest level since 2011), and 30-year bonds and 2-year notes posted record high yields as well. The situation is reminiscent of last October, when 10-year Treasury yields surged more than 30 basis points in four weeks, leading to sell-offs in the ETF.
IYR's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IYR turned positive on November 25, 2025. Looking at past instances where IYR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 26, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IYR as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
IYR moved above its 50-day moving average on November 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYR advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for IYR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
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Category RealEstate
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