Rising Interest Rates Spur Outflows From Real Estate ETF (IYR, $78.70)
Investors are fleeing a major U.S. real-estate fund, as recent interest rate increases are apparently being viewed as potential headwinds for housing demand/real estate business.
The $3.8 billion iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF experienced $530 million outflows between Monday and Wednesday. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yields climbed to around 3.2% on Wednesday (its highest level since 2011), and 30-year bonds and 2-year notes posted record high yields as well. The situation is reminiscent of last October, when 10-year Treasury yields surged more than 30 basis points in four weeks, leading to sell-offs in the ETF.
Momentum Indicator for IYR turns positive, indicating new upward trend
IYR saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 30, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 81 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 81 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IYR just turned positive on July 02, 2025. Looking at past instances where IYR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYR advanced for three days, in of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 299 cases where IYR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
IYR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 23, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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Category RealEstate
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