Rising Interest Rates Spur Outflows From Real Estate ETF (IYR, $78.70)
Investors are fleeing a major U.S. real-estate fund, as recent interest rate increases are apparently being viewed as potential headwinds for housing demand/real estate business.
The $3.8 billion iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF experienced $530 million outflows between Monday and Wednesday. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yields climbed to around 3.2% on Wednesday (its highest level since 2011), and 30-year bonds and 2-year notes posted record high yields as well. The situation is reminiscent of last October, when 10-year Treasury yields surged more than 30 basis points in four weeks, leading to sell-offs in the ETF.
IYR sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
IYR saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 15, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where IYR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 17, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IYR as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
IYR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 23, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYR advanced for three days, in of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 295 cases where IYR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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Category RealEstate
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