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Mar 05, 2019
Salesforce (CRM, $158.55) posts lower-than-expected earnings guidance for fiscal Q1, despite beating fiscal Q4 earnings estimates

Salesforce (CRM, $158.55) posts lower-than-expected earnings guidance for fiscal Q1, despite beating fiscal Q4 earnings estimates

Salesforce beat the fiscal fourth quarter earnings estimates, but fell shy of expectations on guidance for the next quarter.

At 70 cents per share for the three months ending January, the cloud computing/software company’s adjusted earnings overshot analysts’ expectation of 55 cents per share (based on Refinitiv data). The earnings -per-share was more than double the year-ago quarter’s figure.

Revenue for the quarter increased +26% from the year-ago quarter to touch $3.60 billion, exceeding analysts’ estimate of $3.56 billion (based on Refinitiv data). Subscription and support revenues also climbed +26% year-over-year to $3.38 billion in the quarter.

Despite the better-than-expected results for the latest quarter, what probably led to Salesforce shares slumping during Monday’s extended trading was its forecast of 60 cents to 61 cents earnings-per-share on a revenue range of $3.67 billion to $3.68 for the fiscal first quarter – figures that are lower than the 63 cents earnings per share on $3.70 billion revenue that analysts had anticipated ((based on Refinitiv data).

Nevertheless, the company’s guidance for the full fiscal year 2020 is in line with analysts’ expectations. It projects adjusted earnings of $2.74 to $2.76 per share, while analysts’ expect $2.75 per share for the year. Revenue forecast of $15.95 billion to $16.05 billion is a range covering analysts’ prediction of $15.99 billion.

Salesforce stock was down -3.3% in after-hours trading Monday, following the earnings release. It had already dropped -3.66% during the main trading session that day.

 

Related Ticker: CRM

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


CRM sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

On October 01, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for CRM moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 41 of the 57 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 72%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for CRM moved above the 200-day moving average on September 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +5.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CRM advanced for three days, in 226 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CRM moved out of overbought territory on September 08, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 60%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 15, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CRM as a result. In 56 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CRM turned negative on September 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CRM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

The Aroon Indicator for CRM entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 16 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.873) is normal, around the industry mean (51.693). P/E Ratio (20.812) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.759) is also within normal values, averaging (3.135). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.107) is also within normal values, averaging (70.184).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 9.94B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39 to 244.09B. SAPGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 244.09B. The lowest valued company is STIXF at 39.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. RPGL experienced the highest price growth at 174%, while WCT experienced the biggest fall at -89%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 36% and the average quarterly volume growth was -34%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: 8 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a developer of on-demand customer relationship management software technology

Industry PackagedSoftware

Industry
Packaged Software
Address
415 Mission Street
Phone
+1 415 901-7000
Employees
83334
Web
https://www.salesforce.com
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Salesforce (CRM, $158.55) posts lower-than-expected earnings guidance for fiscal Q1, despite beating fiscal Q4 earnings estimates