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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Feb 26, 2021

Salesforce (CRM, $220.95) tops fiscal Q4 earnings; but disappoints on full-year guidance

Salesforce reported its fiscal fourth quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations. However, the cloud-based software company’s full-year guidance that is below analysts’ forecasts.

Adjusted earnings for the quarter ending Jan. 31 came in at $1.04 per share, compared to 75 cents per share as expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv.

Revenue rose +20% from the year-ago quarter to $5.82 billion also exceeding the $5.68 billion expected by analysts.

Salesforce expects 88 cents to 89 cents in adjusted earnings per share in the fiscal first quarter on $5.875 billion to $5.885 billion in revenue. Analysts polled by Refinitiv had predicted adjusted earnings of 76 cents per share on $5.72 billion in revenue.

For fiscal 2022, however, the company projected adjusted earnings of between $3.39 and $3.41 a share, below Wall Street estimates of $3.49.  It expects revenue in the range of $25.65 billion to $25.75 billion -that includes $600 million in revenue from Slack.

Related Ticker: CRM

CRM in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on February 06, 2025

CRM moved below its 50-day moving average on February 06, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 31 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 06, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CRM as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CRM turned negative on February 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for CRM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 11, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CRM entered a downward trend on March 05, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CRM advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CRM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CRM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.916) is normal, around the industry mean (31.034). P/E Ratio (71.967) is within average values for comparable stocks, (161.736). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.620) is also within normal values, averaging (2.763). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.095) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.532) is also within normal values, averaging (58.652).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 12.05B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 19%. ICNP experienced the highest price growth at 123%, while NVNI experienced the biggest fall at -86%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -19% and the average quarterly volume growth was 93%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -3 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a developer of on-demand customer relationship management software technology

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
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Industry
Packaged Software
Address
415 Mission Street
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+1 415 901-7000
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72682
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https://www.salesforce.com
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