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Aug 04, 2023

Shale Oil Stocks Surge +9.9% in 1 Month: $APA, $BHP, $XOM & More

Shale Oil: A Thriving Sector With High Returns

Sector Overview: The Shale Oil Theme

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Annualized Return + 48%
Theme Shale Oil +9.9% 1 Month Change
Tickers in theme Shale Oil -- $APA $BHP $CHRD $CPE $EOG $ERF $FANG $HES $MRO $MTDR $MUR $PXD $VTLE $XOM

The Shale Oil sector is bustling with companies that hold high expertise in oil production. The group features big players like Marathon Oil and Hess, which have hands in diverse aspects of oil production. Smaller yet more dynamic companies, such as Diamondback Energy and Pioneer Natural Resources, bring specialization in shale oil production to the table. Shale oil extraction, albeit more costly than crude oil drilling, provides oil of superior quality. The oil price is susceptible to economic elements, geopolitical volatility, and domestic political scenarios, which can swing it significantly. For instance, a surge in Middle Eastern tensions usually leads to oil price spikes, while a calming environment brings them down.

The Future is Bright: Positive Outlook for the Shale Oil Group

A comprehensive analysis reveals a promising future for the stocks within this group. The Stock Fear & Greed Index, coupled with Tickeron's positive outlook, anticipates further growth of more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 79%. This positive sentiment is backed by a healthy ratio of 1.6 to 1 of daily advancing volumes to declining volumes observed in the last month.

A closer look at the Momentum Indicator reveals a similar positive trend in 12 stocks in the group, each with an average likelihood of 77% for continued progress.

Market Capitalization: A Broad Spectrum in Shale Oil

The average market capitalization within the Shale Oil theme is pegged at 59.5B, with individual companies spanning from 20.4M to a whopping 421.5 B. Exxon Mobil (XOM) stands tall with the highest market cap at 421.5B, while HPR occupies the other end of the spectrum at 20.4M.

Noteworthy Tickers in the Shale Oil Group

BHP Group (BHP)

BHP Group has seen significant growth recently, with its market cap surging by $60.7B on July 7th, 2023, and by $65.1B a week earlier. Despite experiencing the biggest weekly fall of -3.56%, the stock remains a heavy-hitter in the sector.

Exxon Mobil (XOM)

Exxon Mobil, the highest-valued company in the group, witnessed a considerable dip in its market cap by $21.7B on March 16, 2023. However, it still holds significant influence within the sector.

Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD)

Pioneer Natural Resources emerged as a top weekly gainer on July 25th, 2023, with a notable 5.33% jump in stock value, demonstrating its resilience and growth potential in the Shale Oil sector.

Trading Volumes: A Closer Look

Across the stocks in the Shale Oil theme, the average weekly volume growth was -1.98%, and the average quarterly volume growth was -4.08%. However, the average monthly volume growth surged to an impressive 142.36%, signaling increased trading activity.

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

Assessing the fundamental analysis ratings across the Shale Oil theme, the following picture emerges:

  • Valuation Rating: 52
  • P/E Growth Rating: 71
  • Price Growth Rating: 38
  • SMR Rating: 31
  • Profit Risk Rating: 52
  • Seasonality Score: -21

These ratings provide valuable insights into the performance and potential of this sector, reinforcing its position as a noteworthy theme in the current market landscape.

Related Ticker: APA, BHP, CHRD, CPE, EOG, ERF, FANG, HES, MRO, MTDR, MUR, PXD, VTLE, XOM

Momentum Indicator for APA turns positive, indicating new upward trend

APA saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on March 17, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 88 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where APA's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for APA just turned positive on March 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where APA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where APA advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

APA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 10-day moving average for APA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 27, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for APA entered a downward trend on March 04, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.024) is normal, around the industry mean (4.401). P/E Ratio (3.830) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.066). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.184) is also within normal values, averaging (4.890). Dividend Yield (0.028) settles around the average of (0.085) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.322) is also within normal values, averaging (161.036).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. APA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Hess Corp (NYSE:HES), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:EXE), APA Corp (NASDAQ:APA).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 4.17B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 151.38B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 151.38B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3%. ARGYF experienced the highest price growth at 43%, while ZNOG experienced the biggest fall at -31%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -53% and the average quarterly volume growth was -11%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 69
Seasonality Score: 7 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a producer of natural gas, crude oil and natural gas

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil And Gas Production
Address
2000 Post Oak Boulevard
Phone
+1 713 296-6000
Employees
2271
Web
https://www.apacorp.com
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