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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Nov 23, 2020

Sin Stocks Can’t Seem to Break Out of Downward Trends

You may have heard the term “sin stock” at some point over the years, but do you really know which companies are considered sin stocks? Traditionally the term is applied to companies that operate in industries such as alcohol, tobacco, and gambling. There is a long-held belief that these stocks tend to do well no matter what the economy is doing. The reasoning behind that belief is based on how demand for the products is pretty consistent and may even increase during stressful economic times.

While browsing through charts recently I found two sin stocks that can’t seem to break out of the downward trends they have been in for the last four years or so. Altria (MO) and Molson Coors Brewing (TAP) have both seen their stocks trend lower in recent years, but the companies have decent fundamental indicators.

If we look at the weekly chart for Altria we see that the stock has been trending lower since the second quarter of 2017 and from its peak through its low, the stock lost over half of its value. There is also a trend channel that has formed that defines the cycles within the overall downward trend.

Looking at the weekly chart for Molson Coors, we see that the stock peaked just above $100 back in the fourth quarter of 2016. Just last month the stock was trading below $33. We also see a downwardly sloped trend channel forming for the brewer. One difference between the charts is that Molson Coors is in overbought territory based on the 10-week RSI and the weekly stochastic indicators.

Given the downward trends the stocks have been in, you might think the two would rate very poorly when it comes to the fundamentals. But that isn’t the case at all. Tickeron’s fundamental screener shows that Altria does really well with five positive readings and only one negative reading. Molson Coors shows two positive ratings and two negative with three neutral readings.

Both companies get positive readings from the Valuation Rating and from the Seasonality Score. Both companies also get negative ratings in the Profit vs. Risk category—both scoring a 100, the worst possible score. Altria gets additional positive readings in the Outlook Rating, SMR Rating, and P/E Growth Rating. The P/E Growth Rating for Molson Coors is the other bearish reading.

The full analysis from Tickeron shows how the stocks stack up against one another as well as how they compare to other stocks in general.

Related Ticker: MO

MO's Stochastic Oscillator is staying in overbought zone for 2 days

Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

MO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MO entered a downward trend on November 12, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 13, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MO as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MO just turned positive on November 14, 2025. Looking at past instances where MO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MO advanced for three days, in of 376 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (11.847). P/E Ratio (11.248) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.456). MO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.018) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.968). Dividend Yield (0.070) settles around the average of (0.054) among similar stocks. MO's P/S Ratio (4.931) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.563).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM), Altria Group (NYSE:MO).

Industry description

The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Tobacco Industry is 30.86B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 16.09K to 242.23B. PM holds the highest valuation in this group at 242.23B. The lowest valued company is AHII at 16.09K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was 8%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. TOBAF experienced the highest price growth at 125%, while RYM experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was -2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -12% and the average quarterly volume growth was -14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 37
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 66
Seasonality Score: 15 (-100 ... +100)
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MO
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. MO showed earnings on October 30, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company which produces and markets tobacco products

Industry Tobacco

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Tobacco
Address
6601 West Broad Street
Phone
+1 804 274-2200
Employees
6400
Web
https://www.altria.com
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