SM Energy (SM) has been experiencing a rough time over the last three months, with its stock price falling by -25.3% to $26.28 per share. This puts SM in the top losers' category for the quarter, which is a cause for concern for investors who hold SM shares. A.I.dvisor analyzed 315 stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry for the same period, and the results showed that 87.5% of them exhibited a downtrend, indicating that SM is not alone in this situation.
Furthermore, A.I.dvisor analyzed 381 cases when SM's price dropped by 15% within three months, and in 195 out of those cases, the stock price went down during the following month. Based on this historical data, the odds of a downtrend continuation for SM are 51%.
However, there is a glimmer of hope for SM investors as the stock's RSI Oscillator moved out of oversold territory on March 20, 2023. This suggests that the stock may be shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend.
To back up this idea, A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances when the RSI Indicator moved out of oversold territory, and in 30 of those cases, the stock price moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 86%, which is a good sign for traders looking for a potential buying opportunity.
While SM Energy (SM) has experienced a significant decline in stock price over the last three months, there may be hope for investors as the stock's RSI Oscillator moved out of oversold territory. However, investors should remain cautious as historical data indicates that there is a higher likelihood of a downtrend continuation for the stock.
SM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 32 of 37 cases where SM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SM as a result. In 77 of 99 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
SM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SM advanced for three days, in 248 of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 193 of 231 cases where SM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 84%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SM moved out of overbought territory on September 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 69%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SM turned negative on September 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 85%.
The 10-day moving average for SM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 21 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.021) is normal, around the industry mean (5.088). P/E Ratio (5.949) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.683). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.561) is also within normal values, averaging (1.958). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.242) is also within normal values, averaging (5.980).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a developer of natural gas and crude oil properties
Industry OilGasProduction