Smith & Wesson(SWBI, $24.88) misses revenue expectations, despite earnings beat
Shares of Smith & Wesson fell sharply after hours Wednesday, after the gunmaker posted first-quarter revenue that fell short of analysts’ expectations, even as earnings exceeded estimates.
The company’s first-quarter non-GAAP earnings came in at $1.57 per share, compared to the $1.26 per share expected by analysts polled buy FactSet.
However, revenue of $274.6 million was below the $278.6 million expected by analysts.
The company's gross margin improved to 47.3% from 40.2% a year ago.
"We believe we are well positioned for the ever-changing market conditions in our industry, to maintain our leadership position in the industry, and continue delivering impressive profitability in any environment," CEO Mark Smith said.
SWBI sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
SWBI saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on March 28, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SWBI moved out of overbought territory on March 28, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 10, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SWBI as a result. In of 101 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SWBI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SWBI advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SWBI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 236 cases where SWBI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.030) is normal, around the industry mean (6.558). P/E Ratio (29.456) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.899). SWBI's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.974). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.491) is also within normal values, averaging (4.534).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SWBI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a holding company, which engages in the manufacture, design, and provision of firearms
Industry AerospaceDefense