Smith & Wesson(SWBI, $24.88) misses revenue expectations, despite earnings beat
Shares of Smith & Wesson fell sharply after hours Wednesday, after the gunmaker posted first-quarter revenue that fell short of analysts’ expectations, even as earnings exceeded estimates.
The company’s first-quarter non-GAAP earnings came in at $1.57 per share, compared to the $1.26 per share expected by analysts polled buy FactSet.
However, revenue of $274.6 million was below the $278.6 million expected by analysts.
The company's gross margin improved to 47.3% from 40.2% a year ago.
"We believe we are well positioned for the ever-changing market conditions in our industry, to maintain our leadership position in the industry, and continue delivering impressive profitability in any environment," CEO Mark Smith said.
SWBI in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026
The 10-day moving average for SWBI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SWBI as a result. In 71 of 100 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SWBI just turned positive on September 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where SWBI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
SWBI moved above its 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SWBI advanced for three days, in 177 of 276 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 111 of 171 cases where SWBI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 65%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SWBI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 17 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.684) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). P/E Ratio (25.545) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.116). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.010) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). SWBI has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.037) as compared to the industry average of (0.009). P/S Ratio (1.071) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SWBI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SWBI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a holding company, which engages in the manufacture, design, and provision of firearms
Industry AerospaceDefense
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