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Sarah Patel's Avatar
published in Blogs
Sep 02, 2021

Smith & Wesson(SWBI, $24.88) misses revenue expectations, despite earnings beat

Shares of Smith & Wesson  fell sharply after hours Wednesday, after the gunmaker posted first-quarter revenue that fell short of analysts’ expectations, even as earnings exceeded estimates.

The company’s first-quarter non-GAAP earnings came in at $1.57 per share, compared to the $1.26 per share expected by analysts polled buy FactSet.

However, revenue of $274.6 million was below the $278.6 million expected by analysts.

The company's gross margin improved to 47.3% from 40.2% a year ago.

"We believe we are well positioned for the ever-changing market conditions in our industry, to maintain our leadership position in the industry, and continue delivering impressive profitability in any environment,"  CEO Mark Smith said.

 

Related Ticker: SWBI

Momentum Indicator for SWBI turns positive, indicating new upward trend

SWBI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 02, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 94 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 50 cases where SWBI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

SWBI moved above its 50-day moving average on June 02, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SWBI advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SWBI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SWBI turned negative on May 31, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SWBI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for SWBI entered a downward trend on May 15, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.485) is normal, around the industry mean (25.408). P/E Ratio (9.174) is within average values for comparable stocks, (309.059). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (7.842). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.082) is also within normal values, averaging (170.014).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SWBI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SWBI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Boeing Company (NYSE:BA), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:LMT), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:NOC), Spirit Aerosystems Holdings (NYSE:SPR), Virgin Galactic Holdings (NYSE:SPCE).

Industry description

Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Aerospace & Defense Industry is 10.29B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.66K to 140.39B. RTX holds the highest valuation in this group at 140.39B. The lowest valued company is ASDN at 1.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 18%. RNWR experienced the highest price growth at 113%, while CAMG experienced the biggest fall at -56%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was -13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -19% and the average quarterly volume growth was -6%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: -5 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
Show details...
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company, which engages in the manufacture, design, and provision of firearms

Industry AerospaceDefense

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
2100 Roosevelt Avenue
Phone
+1 800 331-0852
Employees
1723
Web
https://www.smith-wesson.com
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SWBI and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SWBI has been loosely correlated with RGR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SWBI jumps, then RGR could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SWBI
1D Price
Change %
SWBI100%
+4.31%
RGR - SWBI
62%
Loosely correlated
+2.54%
TXT - SWBI
40%
Loosely correlated
+2.79%
SPCE - SWBI
40%
Loosely correlated
+1.87%
TDG - SWBI
37%
Loosely correlated
+2.01%
ARNC - SWBI
37%
Loosely correlated
N/A
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