Go to the list of all blogs
Niko Sharks's Avatar
published in Blogs
Dec 12, 2018
Softbank Seeks to Offload Stake in Nvidia (NVDA)

Softbank Seeks to Offload Stake in Nvidia (NVDA)

Down nearly 48% from its early October peak, Nvidia Corp.’s recent slide has resulted in SoftBank Group considering offloading its stake in the graphics chipmaker. According to Bloomberg report, the deal is expected to fetch a potential $3 billion in profit for the Japanese investor.

Softbank presently holds an equity stake in Nvidia and has constructed a $6B collar trade, which would allow investors to accumulate stakes while protecting themselves against share price declines.

Over the years, Softbank has quietly amassed a $3 billion stake in Nvidia that by early 2017 made it the fourth-largest shareholder.

The value of SoftBank’s Nvidia’s stake peaked at $7 billion in September, but with the recent slide in share prices of Nvidia it’s expected that Softbank would get close to $6 billion if it were to exercise all of its options at their average strike price. The average price for the options, according to the market experts, is expected to hover in-between $230 to $240 a share.

Hit by waning demand in its gaming division and the persistent loss of demand from the collapse of cryptocurrency mining, Nvidia posted a below expectations fourth-quarter outlook in November. But the exit of its the fourth-largest shareholder, if it happens, could hurt Nvidia even more.

Related Ticker: NVDA

Aroon Indicator for NVDA shows an upward move is likely

NVDA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 08, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 348 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 304 of the 348 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 87%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Following a +2.65% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in 298 of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 65 cases where NVDA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In 61 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on September 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 60%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (23.041) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (7.467). P/E Ratio (27.597) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.209). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.464) is also within normal values, averaging (1.728). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.015) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.575) is also within normal values, averaging (54.368).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 204.09B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 5.27T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 5.27T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 47%. SWKS experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while CBRS experienced the biggest fall at -9%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -26% and the average quarterly volume growth was -54%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: -20 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
NVDA
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
2788 San Tomas Expressway
Phone
+1 408 486-2000
Employees
42000
Web
https://www.nvidia.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
Shares of ARQ plunged approximately 27.50% in premarket trading on March 10, 2026, from a prior close of $3.20 to roughly $2.32. The primary catalyst was a deeply disappointing Q4 2025 earnings report, which revealed a net loss of $50.0 million for the quarter versus a net loss of $1.3 million in Q4 2024.
RAIL shares fell approximately 15% in premarket trading on March 10, 2026, following a steep after-hours reaction to disappointing Q4 2025 earnings results released after the close on March 9. The primary catalyst was a significant revenue miss: Q4 revenue came in at $125.6 million, well below consensus estimates near $144–$160 million, representing an 8.8% year-over-year decline.
ZVRA shares surged approximately +17.86% on March 10, 2026, driven by a blockbuster Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings report released before the market open. Primary catalyst: Q4 2025 EPS of $0.19 crushed the consensus estimate of $0.05 — a 280% beat — while revenue of $34.1 million exceeded forecasts by 21.57%.
LITE surged +14.73% on Monday, March 9, 2026, closing at $640.69 versus a prior close of $558.44 on March 6. The primary catalyst was the landmark $2 billion strategic investment by NVIDIA announced March 2, with the market continuing to price in its full implications following a brief post-announcement pullback.
Shares of BNTX fell approximately 22% on Tuesday, March 10, 2026, following a dual shock of disappointing full-year guidance and a surprise leadership upheaval. The primary catalyst was BioNTech's Q4 2025 earnings report, which included a 2026 revenue outlook of €2.0–€2.3 billion — well below analyst consensus and signaling continued pressure from declining COVID-19 vaccine demand.
CNC shares fell approximately 10% during Tuesday's session, extending a prolonged selloff in the managed care sector. The primary catalyst is intensifying investor concern over federal Medicaid and ACA funding cuts tied to the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" (OBBBA), which threatens to shrink the government-sponsored insurance pools that Centene depends on for the majority of its revenue.
Technology recently peaked near 35% of the S&P 500 and has slipped over the last year, while Energy plus Materials remain near historically low combined weight at roughly 6%, which suggests the gap is still unusually wide.
Average daily equity purchases by retail investors on S&P 500 down days in 2026 are at the highest level on record, running about 100% above the peak intensity seen during the 2021 meme‑stock boom.
Over the past two weeks, PLTR has climbed from roughly the high‑130s to the mid‑150s, a gain of about 12–14%, with a series of strong up days between March 2 and March 6.
AVAV shares dropped approximately 10% in premarket trading on March 11, 2026, following a disappointing Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings report released after the prior session's close. Q3 revenue of $408.0 million came in far below analyst consensus of approximately $475–$488 million, representing a massive top-line miss.
KOS shares are down approximately 20% in premarket trading on March 11, 2026, having shed roughly 20.31% across the last two sessions (Tuesday close and premarket Wednesday). The primary catalyst is Kosmos Energy's announcement of a massive $185.25 million public equity offering priced at $1.90 per share — a steep discount to recent trading levels.
NBIS shares surged approximately +10% in premarket trading on March 11, 2026, from a prior close of $96.32. The primary catalyst is the imminent addition of Nebius Group to the Bloomberg 500 (B500) Index, effective prior to the open of trading on Thursday, March 12, 2026.
ORCL shares surged approximately +10.49% in Wednesday's premarket session, trading around $165.07 versus Tuesday's closing price of $149.40. The primary catalyst is Oracle's Q3 FY2026 earnings beat, with adjusted EPS of $1.79 vs. the $1.70 consensus estimate, and revenue of $17.2 billion topping the $16.92 billion forecast.
Shares of AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) are down approximately 5.00% in early trading on March 11, 2026, falling from a prior close of $108.26 to around $102.85. The primary driver is a renewed pullback in gold prices, which has weighed heavily on gold mining equities across the board.
HMY shares are trading down approximately 13% in early session trading on March 11, 2026, following the release of the company's H1 FY26 interim results. Revenue of R44.4 billion (~US$2.6 billion) missed analyst consensus estimates of R47.56 billion, a significant shortfall that spooked investors.
FICO fell over 9% today, extending a multi‑week downtrend that has already knocked the stock more than 7% lower since its last earnings update. The decline comes despite strong recent financial results, including double‑digit revenue growth, expanding margins, and repeated earnings beats.
RERE fell roughly 10% today, giving back a portion of its strong gains over the past year and month, as traders reacted to fresh earnings and guidance. The company delivered robust Q4 2025 results, with revenue growth near 30% year over year and earnings per share ahead of consensus estimates, underscoring continued operational momentum.
Top hedge funds like Millennium, Citadel, and Bridgewater showed limited direct accumulation of penny stocks in Q4 2025 13F filings, but rotations into biotech, energy, and defense sectors highlight indirect interest in low-priced plays under $5. New entries and increased positions focused on volatile sectors like biotech (e.g., ABCL) and energy (e.g., AMPY), with full exits from overvalued names signaling a hunt for undervalued pennies amid market uncertainty.
Penny stocks in the oil sector are exploding in trading volume amid a massive oil price rally, with the USO ETF hitting a record $12.4 billion in daily trades—up 1,000% YTD and surpassing peaks from 2020, 2022, and 2025. Geopolitical tensions from the ongoing Iran war are driving oil above $100 per barrel, creating supply shocks and opportunities for high-volatility plays in exploration, drilling, and production.
NTSK shares are trading down approximately 20% in premarket trading on March 12, 2026, following the company's Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings release after the close on March 11. The primary catalyst is not the earnings themselves — which beat expectations — but an imminent and massive lock-up expiration scheduled for March 13, 2026, when approximately 390 million shares of Class A common stock become eligible for public sale.