Southwest Airlines ( LUV, $28.31) expects improved demand and load factor for May
Southwest Airlines reported improved demand and load factor in May - according to a regulatory filing.
The airline mentioned, in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing, that its operating revenue for April declined 90% to 95% and load factor was about 8% due to the COVID-19 pandemic’s impact on air travel.
However, the company said it experienced "modest improvement" in passenger demand, bookings and trip cancellations in May, leading to net positive bookings through May 18.
Southwest expects May operating revenue to fall 85% to 90% and estimates load factor to be 25% to 30%, compared with previous outlook for a 90%-to-95% decline in operating revenue and load factor of 5% to 10%.
Southwest continues to expect its average daily core cash spending to be in the range of $30 million to $35 million in the second quarter of 2020. For June, it projects its daily cash burn rate to be “in the low-$20 million range.”
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
LUV sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
LUV saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 10, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LUV as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
LUV moved below its 50-day moving average on August 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for LUV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 31, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LUV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for LUV entered a downward trend on August 20, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LUV advanced for three days, in of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
LUV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.789) is normal, around the industry mean (3.817). P/E Ratio (25.237) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.565). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.311) is also within normal values, averaging (3.228). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.705) is also within normal values, averaging (0.806).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LUV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LUV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of scheduled air transportation services
Industry Airlines
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