Go to the list of all blogs
Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 22, 2020

Southwest Airlines (LUV, $41.49) reports largest-ever loss, as COVID-19 continues to hurt

Southwest Airlines  reported its biggest quarterly loss ever, with  the COVID-19 pandemic  continues to hurt air travel. However, the airline is has tapered its cash-burn rate.

The airline’s third-quarter loss came in at -$1.2 billion, or -$1.96 a share, vs. income of $659 million, or $1.23 a share, in the same period a year ago. Excluding special items, Southwest loss was -$1.2 billion, or -$1.99 a share. Analysts polled by FactSet had been expecting a loss of -$2.35 a share.

The quarterly operating revenue was $1.8 billion, down -68% year-over-year.

As of third quarter-end, Southwest had  liquidity of $15.6 billion, consisting of cash and short-term investments of $14.6 billion and a secured revolving credit facility of $1 billion.

The airline’s cash-burn rate, ( measures how much cash an airline is using to continue operations despite losses), was around $16 million per day in the third quarter, an improvement from average core cash burn of approximately $23 million per day in the second quarter. The company cited improving revenue trends as the primary reason.  

For the month of October, Southwest’s cash burn rate is estimated to be approximately $12 million per day, while fourth quarter 2020 is currently estimated to be approximately $11 million per day, “driven primarily by continued modest improvements in close-in leisure demand and booking trends, as well as cost savings from voluntary employee separation and leave programs,” according to Southwest’s statement.

“While we continue to make progress on reducing cash burn, in order to achieve cash burn break even, we estimate operating revenues will need to recover to an estimated 60-70% of 2019 levels, which is roughly double our third quarter 2020 levels,” CEO Gary Kelly said.

Southwest said it will soon stop blocking middle seats, a measure it had in place amid the pandemic. “This practice of effectively keeping middle seats open bridged us from the early days of the pandemic, when we had little knowledge about the behavior of the virus, to now,” Southwest said. “Today, aligned with science-based findings from trusted medical and aviation organizations, we will resume selling all available seats for travel beginning December 1, 2020.”

Tickeron's analysis suggests: 

LUV's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LUV turned positive on October 09, 2020. Looking at past instances where LUV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 34 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Current price $41.49 crossed the support line at $38.67 and is trading between $53.79 support and $38.67 support lines. Throughout the month of 09/21/20 - 10/21/20, the price experienced a +6% Uptrend. During the week of 10/14/20 - 10/21/20, the stock enjoyed a +2% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2020. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LUV as a result. In 47 of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

LUV moved above its 50-day Moving Average on August 18, 2020 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day Moving Average for LUV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 17, 2020. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Following a +1.21% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LUV advanced for three days, in 223 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 163 of 247 cases where LUV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for LUV moved out of overbought territory on September 17, 2020. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 55%.

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where Apple declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

LUV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 62%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.26 to 1.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LUV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.16) is normal, around the industry mean (2.17). LUV has a moderately high P/E Ratio (99.18) as compared to the industry average of (29.03). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is also within normal values, averaging (1.62). Dividend Yield (1.30) settles around the average of (0.89) among similar stocks. LUV's P/S Ratio (1.16) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.64).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LUV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.

 

 

Related Ticker: LUV

LUV's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LUV turned positive on April 08, 2024. Looking at past instances where LUV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LUV's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 17, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LUV as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LUV advanced for three days, in of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for LUV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 18, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LUV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for LUV entered a downward trend on April 17, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LUV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.691) is normal, around the industry mean (20.094). P/E Ratio (39.118) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.427). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.556) is also within normal values, averaging (0.733). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.729) is also within normal values, averaging (1.072).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LUV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE:LUV), United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ:UAL), American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL), JetBlue Airways Corp (NASDAQ:JBLU).

Industry description

Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Airlines Industry is 5.79B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 9.36K to 31.63B. DAL holds the highest valuation in this group at 31.63B. The lowest valued company is KLMR at 9.36K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was 6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 52%, and the average quarterly price growth was 37%. CAJTF experienced the highest price growth at 216%, while WZZZY experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was 9%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 100% and the average quarterly volume growth was -2%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 75
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: -16 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: TRAVEL INDUSTRY
View a ticker or compare two or three
LUVDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
Show more...
Ad is loading...
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of scheduled air transportation services

Industry Airlines

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Airlines
Address
P.O. Box 36611
Phone
+1 214 792-4000
Employees
74806
Web
https://www.southwest.com
Ad is loading...
Discover the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading with Tickeron's AI analysis. Capitalize on bullish and bearish patterns in Origin Protocol (OGN.X), with gains up to 27.80%. Stay ahead with Tickeron's real-time insights and make informed trading decisions. #CryptoTrading #AIAnalysis #OriginProtocol #InvestSmart
#latest#popular#patterns#artificial_intelligence#trading#technical_analysis
Dive into the world of trading excellence with our Best AI Robot of the week! In a market characterized by growth, the key to maximizing profits lies not only in mainstream large-cap stocks but also in exploring opportunities across different market segments.
This article delves into the performance of AI trading robots, specifically those utilizing the "Swing trader: Long-Short Equity Strategy (TA&FA)." These bots showcased their prowess by delivering a notable +4.98% gain while engaging in MRNA trades over the previous week. Beyond mere statistics, we explore the technical indicators and recent earnings report of MRNA to shed light on the underlying dynamics influencing the stock.
Artificial intelligence (AI) trading bots have become powerful tools for investors seeking active trading opportunities. In a recent analysis conducted on the "Day Trader: High Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA&FA)" platform, AI trading bots exhibited impressive performance, generating a noteworthy +4.81% gain while actively trading Shopify (SHOP) over the course of the previous week.
In the dynamic world of finance, strategic asset acquisition is a game-changer. Recently, a group of stocks within this domain has been in the spotlight, showcasing notable performances and intriguing patterns. This article delves into the recent movements of these stocks, focusing on key indicators, market capitalization, notable price events, and volume dynamics.
The Tickeron quant team is delighted to introduce our best robot of the week tailored for Trend Traders. Our sophisticated AI Robot, has been designed for manual trading enthusiasts who value independent signal selection.
Tickeron's Quant team is delighted to introduce our latest AI-powered robot designed for trading small-cap stocks, employing a distinctive fundamental stock analysis algorithm. This algorithm, renowned for its blend of in-depth analysis and intuitive signal-following capabilities, is well-suited for both novice and seasoned traders.
The Tickeron quant team proudly presents our top-performing AI robot for swing traders. This robot stands out with its remarkable accuracy, empowering traders to capitalize on diverse market conditions and transaction types. Demonstrating its proficiency, it achieved profitability in short trades during last week's strong uptrend in the US stock markets.
One such example is the "Trend Trader: Popular Stocks (TA&FA)" platform, where AI trading robots demonstrated their prowess by generating a notable gain while actively trading Adobe Inc. (ADBE) over the previous week. In this article, we delve into a technical analysis of ADBE's recent performance, shedding light on key indicators and recent earnings results.
​​​​​​​The railroads sector, encompassing prominent players such as Canadian Pacific Railway (CP), CSX Corporation (CSX), Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC), Canadian National Railway Company (CNI), and Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), has undergone a noteworthy surge in performance over the past week. However, a closer examination reveals a complex landscape marked by negative outlook signals and fluctuating market dynamics.
The Tickeron quant team is excited to introduce our premier AI robot, specifically optimized for Swing Traders. This tool represents the pinnacle of our technological advancements in trading algorithms. Excelling in the market, it has achieved an impressive feat, earning twice as much as the S&P 500 in just the past week.
In the whirlwind of the current mergers and acquisitions frenzy, investors are reaping substantial rewards as stocks within the merger industry theme surged by an impressive 20.9% on average over the past month.
The Tickeron quant team is delighted to introduce our top-performing AI robot tailored for beginners. Our AI Robot specializes in navigating the high-tech stocks within the NASDAQ 100 index, renowned for their liquidity and moderate volatility—making them an ideal choice for novice traders.
In the dynamic landscape of the US stock markets, where unpredictability has become the norm, finding a trading strategy that not only thrives in periods of growth but also shields against sharp corrections is paramount.
The Tickeron quant team proudly introduces our premier AI Robot, tailor-made for trend traders who prefer manual trading and selecting their own signals. This AI Robot stands out with its impressive track record of consistent trading predictions, empowering traders to align their decisions with personal preferences.
Tickeron is excited to highlight the exceptional performance of our top AI robot this week, given the recent downturn in major US stock indices. While the SP500, NASDAQ 100, and Dow Jones Industrial all experienced declines, our AI robot, thanks to its well-calibrated diversification across various industries, demonstrated remarkable resilience.
As the trading week came to a close on Friday, there were notable movements across various asset classes:
Tickeron's quant team diligently monitors developed trading algorithms daily to determine the most effective ones. Today, we are delighted to present three of the best robots tailored for swing traders, showcasing consistently positive results over several months, irrespective of market conditions. This week, they underscored their efficacy by yielding impressive gains across various stocks, even as major US stock indexes dipped.
Tickeron is excited to highlight the exceptional performance of our top AI robot this week. The US stock market has experienced a consistent upward trend for the past five months, heightening the anticipation of a forthcoming correction with each passing day.
Introducing our top-performing best AI Robot of the week, designed by Tickeron's expert quant team for trading small-cap stocks. This algorithm blends classical and proprietary technical indicators, honed through advanced machine learning, to empower users with effective portfolio diversification and maximum profitability in the dynamic market.