GET DAILY SIGNALSStarbucks (SBUX, $106.07) posted Q4 results
Starbucks posted earnings that beat analysts’ expectations. However, sales growth in China was disappointing.
The coffee bar chain’s adjusted earnings came in at $1 per share, compared to the 99 cents expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.
Revenue of $8.1 billion fell a bit shy of the $8.21 billion expected.
U.S. same-store sales rose +22% in the quarter. Customers spent 3% more on transactions on average. The company’s loyalty program had 24.8 million active members, up +28% year-over-year.
International same-store sales increased +3%. In China, Starbucks’ second-largest market, same-store sales fell by -7%.
Looking ahead, the company is projecting its GAAP earnings per share to decrease by -4%. It expects its adjusted earnings per share to rise by at least +10% for fiscal 2022, compared to analysts’ estimate of more than 15% higher than fiscal 2021. According to the company, earnings will be at their lowest point in the fiscal second quarter owing to wage hikes, but profits will reach their peak by the next quarter.
Starbucks has projected global same-store sales in the high single digits and net sales of $32.5 billion to $33 billion, above Wall Street’s estimates of $32.07 billion.
The company plans to add approximately 2,000 net new cafes globally. Roughly three-quarters of those new locations are expected to be located outside of the U.S.
Starbucks announced it would resume its share buyback program during its fiscal first quarter.
The coffee bar chain’s adjusted earnings came in at $1 per share, compared to the 99 cents expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.
Revenue of $8.1 billion fell a bit shy of the $8.21 billion expected.
U.S. same-store sales rose +22% in the quarter. Customers spent 3% more on transactions on average. The company’s loyalty program had 24.8 million active members, up +28% year-over-year.
International same-store sales increased +3%. In China, Starbucks’ second-largest market, same-store sales fell by -7%.
Looking ahead, the company is projecting its GAAP earnings per share to decrease by -4%. It expects its adjusted earnings per share to rise by at least +10% for fiscal 2022, compared to analysts’ estimate of more than 15% higher than fiscal 2021. According to the company, earnings will be at their lowest point in the fiscal second quarter owing to wage hikes, but profits will reach their peak by the next quarter.
Starbucks has projected global same-store sales in the high single digits and net sales of $32.5 billion to $33 billion, above Wall Street’s estimates of $32.07 billion.
The company plans to add approximately 2,000 net new cafes globally. Roughly three-quarters of those new locations are expected to be located outside of the U.S.
Starbucks announced it would resume its share buyback program during its fiscal first quarter.
SBUX in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026
The 10-day moving average for SBUX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SBUX as a result. In 49 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
SBUX moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +5.08% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SBUX advanced for three days, in 170 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 121 of 203 cases where SBUX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SBUX moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 74%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 39 of 67 cases where SBUX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
The 50-day moving average for SBUX moved below the 200-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SBUX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
SBUX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SBUX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 56 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-15.658) is normal, around the industry mean (-0.877). P/E Ratio (60.931) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.791). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.128) is also within normal values, averaging (7.754). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.049) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.901) is also within normal values, averaging (2.618).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SBUX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock better than average.
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General Information
a producer of coffee and tea
Industry Restaurants
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