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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 08, 2019

Starbucks (SBUX, $74.60) slides on analyst downgrade to "neutral" from "buy", despite higher price target

Starbucks shares slid around -1.2% in pre-market Monday, following a downgrade by a UBS analyst.

Analyst Dennis Geiger lowered rating on the coffeehouse-chain’s stock to “neutral” from “buy”. However, he bumped up his price target on the stock to $78 a share from $72, owing to the company's $2 billion share buyback program and a modest increase in its fiscal 2020 earnings per share estimate. But he cautioned against what he perceives are risks from "downside to more elevated sales/earnings expectations as an offset."

Geiger cited firming same-store-sales momentum and streamlined operations as factors he considers as strong positives for Starbucks.

Related Ticker: SBUX

SBUX sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

SBUX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on April 03, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 54 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SBUX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for SBUX entered a downward trend on April 16, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SBUX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 65 cases where SBUX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 22, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SBUX as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SBUX advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SBUX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (5.800). P/E Ratio (26.713) is within average values for comparable stocks, (42.059). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.072) is also within normal values, averaging (1.647). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.047) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.604) is also within normal values, averaging (8.341).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SBUX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Dominos Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:DPZ), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 8.03B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.74K to 228.17B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 228.17B. The lowest valued company is BFICQ at 2.74K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. DENN experienced the highest price growth at 15%, while NROM experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 27%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -13% and the average quarterly volume growth was 61%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 1 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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General Information

a producer of coffee and tea

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Restaurants
Address
2401 Utah Avenue South
Phone
+1 206 447-1575
Employees
381000
Web
https://www.starbucks.com
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