Starbucks (SBUX,$86.96) tops earnings expectations
Starbucks reported its fiscal fourth quarter earnings that topped analysts’ expectations.
The coffee chain’s adjusted earnings for the quarter came in at 51 cents a share, well above the 31 cents expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.
Revenue fell -8% year-over-year to $6.2 billion, surpassing analysts’ forecast of $6.06 billion.
Global same-store sales fell -9%.
The company also indicated that while the number of transactions has reduced due to the pandemic, customers are spending on pricier items like cold beverages and plant-based options.
According to Starbucks, sales in the U.S. and China are recouping from the COVID-19 pandemic impact more quickly than expected.
In the US, same-store sales fell -9%. Active membership in Starbucks’ U.S. loyalty program climbed +10% to 19.3 million people and accounted for 47% of transactions.
China same-store sales dropped by just -3%.
During the quarter, Starbucks opened 480 new cafes on net. It expects to open 1,100 net new stores and $1.9 billion in capital expenditures in the next fiscal year.
Looking ahead, the company forecasts adjusted earnings of 50 cents to 55 cents per share for the fiscal first quarter.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
SBUX in +3.37% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on August 24, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where SBUX advanced for three days, in of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 67 cases where SBUX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SBUX as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SBUX turned negative on August 31, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
SBUX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SBUX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SBUX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (5.744). P/E Ratio (58.965) is within average values for comparable stocks, (40.845). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.240) is also within normal values, averaging (1.731). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.040) is also within normal values, averaging (2.725).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SBUX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SBUX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a producer of coffee and tea
Industry Restaurants
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