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Apr 14, 2019
Stitch Fix has had a wild ride in the 17 months since it went public

Stitch Fix has had a wild ride in the 17 months since it went public

Online clothing retailer Stitch Fix (Nasdaq: SFIX) has experienced a wild ride since it went public back in November 2017. When the stock started trading on November 16, 2017, it jumped over 240% by September 17, 2018. The stock peaked at $52.44 in September but then proceeded to fall down to $16.05.

Since that low on Christmas Eve, the stock jumped to a high of $37.72, a gain of 135% in less than three months. The stock has pulled back once again, but it appears to be finding support at its 50-day moving average at this time.

The recent pullback did move the daily stochastic readings into oversold territory and the indicators made a bullish crossover on April 11.

In addition to the potential bullish signal from the stochastic readings, the Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal for Stitch Fix on April 10. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% in the next month and it showed a confidence level of 89%. Previous predictions on Stitch Fix have been successful 62% of the time.

The fundamentals for Stitch Fix are pretty impressive. The earnings for the last three years have declined by 10% per year, but the most recent quarterly report showed earnings growth of 71%. The company’s sales have increased by an average of 35% per year for the last three years and they were up by 25% in the most recent quarter.

Stitch Fix’s management efficiency ratings are mixed with a return on equity of 62.1% which is really strong, but the profit margin is only 3.5% and that is well below average. It is also worth noting that the company doesn’t have any long-term debt.

Related Ticker: SFIX

SFIX in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on June 08, 2026

SFIX moved above its 50-day moving average on June 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 36 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 26, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SFIX as a result. In of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SFIX just turned positive on May 26, 2026. Looking at past instances where SFIX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for SFIX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SFIX advanced for three days, in of 259 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 191 cases where SFIX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SFIX moved out of overbought territory on June 12, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SFIX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SFIX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SFIX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.656) is normal, around the industry mean (3.595). SFIX has a moderately low P/E Ratio (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (17.991). SFIX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.874). SFIX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.033). P/S Ratio (0.402) is also within normal values, averaging (0.760).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SFIX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 9.84B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 179.95B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 179.95B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. AKA experienced the highest price growth at 15%, while JEM experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 42% and the average quarterly volume growth was 243%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 43
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
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SFIX
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General Information

a provider of subscription-based personal shopping and delivery services for women's clothing

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
1 Montgomery Street
Phone
+1 415 882-7765
Employees
4165
Web
https://www.stitchfix.com
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